Uncertainty Exposed: A Field Lab Exercise Where GIS Meets the Real World

Stephen P. Prisley, Candice Luebbering
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Abstract

Students in natural resources programs commonly take courses in geospatial technologies. An awareness of the uncertainty of spatial data and algorithms can be an important outcome of such courses. This article describes a laboratory exercise in a graduate geographic information system (GIS) class that involves collection of data for the assessment of spatial uncertainty. Students delineate a forest clearing using digital aerial photographs and global positioning system (GPS) receivers. They also measure terrain attributes such as slope, elevation, and aspect at nine selected points in the field and extract similar measures for those locations from a GIS elevation dataset. Collating data from students and groups yields a rich dataset of multiple observations. This dataset is then analyzed to develop estimates of uncertainty such as standard deviation and root mean square error (RMSE). Results from a recent lab exercise indicate that area of a forest clearing had coefficients of variation of 11.5% for delineations from aerial photographs and 7.6% from GPS delineations. The RMSE for GPS X coordinate, GPS Y coordinate, and elevation at nine terrain measurement points were 5.3, 7.1, and 3.4 m, respectively. The RMSE for slope percent was 4%, and the GIS-based slope estimate was within the range of field estimates at only seven of nine points. The RMSE for field-measured aspect was nearly 17 degrees. An online assessment of the lab exercise indicated that most students found the exercise was worth the class time devoted to it, and many students gained valuable insights about spatial uncertainty.

暴露的不确定性:地理信息系统与现实世界相遇的野外实验室练习
自然资源专业的学生通常学习地理空间技术。对空间数据和算法的不确定性的认识可能是此类课程的重要成果。本文描述了研究生地理信息系统(GIS)课堂上的一个实验室练习,该练习涉及收集用于评估空间不确定性的数据。学生们用数码航空照片和全球定位系统(GPS)接收器描绘一片森林空地。他们还在野外的9个选定点测量地形属性,如坡度、高程和坡向,并从GIS高程数据集中提取这些位置的类似测量值。整理来自学生和团体的数据产生了丰富的多个观察数据集。然后对该数据集进行分析,以得出不确定性的估计,如标准差和均方根误差(RMSE)。最近的一项实验室实验结果表明,森林空地面积的变化系数在航空照片中为11.5%,在GPS中为7.6%。9个地形测点GPS X坐标、GPS Y坐标和高程的均方根误差分别为5.3、7.1和3.4 m。坡度百分比的RMSE为4%,基于gis的坡度估计值仅在9个点中的7个点的范围内。实测坡向的RMSE接近17度。对实验练习的在线评估表明,大多数学生认为这个练习值得投入课堂时间,许多学生获得了关于空间不确定性的宝贵见解。
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