Real estate finance risk appraisal: lessons from the past

Jon Morton-Smith
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Abstract

History is important — the lessons that each of us can learn from our own experience and that of others before us can always help in formulating our views, opinions and strategies for the future.

A sound and understanding relationship between lender and borrower is essential. The temptation to borrow heavily is all the stronger as interest rates fall and when inflation is low — but it is not so much the absolute level that is the issue, but the overall capacity of net incomes to sustain appropriate debt servicing (interest and amortisation) over time.

Historically, the too heavy reliance of some lenders on the ‘valuation’ has resulted in disaster! The tales of woe and misunderstanding between those who instruct, those who advise and the borrower are legion and the subject of incredulous after-dinner stories. But the desire to put the done deal behind you and pay scant regard to the required and sometimes received management information, tenants schedule, managing agent reports, audited accounts (and anything else that seemed like a good idea to ask for at the time), must be resisted at all costs! It may well be that a lender can be properly satisfied with a direct first legal charge over the property in isolation. However, most real estate loans are not sound enough to do without protection from the actions of others or where the continuing viability of the principals is not important.

Of course, there are enormous and demanding lessons to be found from the past and they can be related to the very different investment and debt markets today. Copyright © 2001 Henry Stewart Publications

房地产金融风险评估:过去的教训
历史是重要的——我们每个人都可以从自己的经验和前人的经验中吸取教训,这些教训总是有助于形成我们对未来的看法、意见和战略。贷方和借款人之间的良好和相互理解的关系是必不可少的。当利率下降和通胀处于低水平时,大举借款的诱惑会更加强烈——但问题不在于绝对水平,而在于净收入长期维持适当偿债(利息和摊销)的总体能力。从历史上看,一些银行对“估值”的过度依赖导致了灾难!教导者、建议者和借款人之间的痛苦和误解的故事比比皆是,也是令人难以置信的餐后故事的主题。但是,必须不惜一切代价抵制那种把已经完成的交易抛在身后,对所需的、有时收到的管理信息、租户时间表、管理代理报告、审计账户(以及其他任何当时看起来不错的要求)漠不关心的愿望!贷款人很可能完全满足于对该财产单独提出直接的首次法律指控。然而,大多数房地产贷款都不够健全,无法在没有他人行为保护的情况下进行,或者在委托人的持续生存能力不重要的情况下进行。当然,我们可以从过去汲取大量教训,这些教训可能与如今截然不同的投资和债务市场有关。版权所有©2001 Henry Stewart Publications
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