Africa&Apos;S Manufacturing Puzzle: Evidence from Tanzanian and Ethiopian Firms

X. Diao, Mia Ellis, M. McMillan, D. Rodrik
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Abstract

Recent growth accelerations in Africa are characterized by increasing productivity in agriculture, a declining share of the labor force employed in agriculture and declining productivity in modern sectors such as manufacturing. To shed light on this puzzle, we disaggregate firms in the manufacturing sector by size using two newly created panels of manufacturing firms, one for Tanzania covering 2008-2016 and one for Ethiopia covering 1996-2017. Our analysis reveals a dichotomy between larger firms that exhibit superior productivity performance but do not expand employment much, and small firms that absorb employment but do not experience any productivity growth. We suggest the poor employment performance of large firms is related to use of capital-intensive techniques associated with global trends in technology.

Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
非洲制造业之谜:来自坦桑尼亚和埃塞俄比亚公司的证据
非洲最近增长加速的特点是农业生产率提高,农业劳动力所占比例下降,制造业等现代部门的生产率下降。为了阐明这一难题,我们使用两个新创建的制造业公司面板,按规模对制造业的公司进行了分类,一个用于坦桑尼亚,涵盖2008-2016年,一个用于埃塞俄比亚,涵盖1996-2017年。我们的分析揭示了一种二分法:大公司表现出卓越的生产率表现,但不扩大就业;小企业吸收就业,但没有经历任何生产率增长。我们认为,大公司的就业表现不佳与使用与全球技术趋势相关的资本密集型技术有关。国家经济研究局工作论文系列的机构订阅者和发展中国家的居民可以在www.nber.org免费下载本文。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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