Demographic impact of In Vitro Fertilization in Spain

Daniel Devolder , Evgeniya Borisova
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Abstract

In this paper, we analysed In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) data from the registry of the Spanish Society of Fertility (SEF). This registry is not complete until 2014, when it started to be mandatory, as a part of the clinics did not report until that year. Also, information on patients is very limited. Our first purpose was to estimate the number of births obtained by IVF in Spain for the period 1999–2019, correcting for non-participation. In this sense, we stressed the importance of estimating the number of pregnancies with unknown evolution and the demand for IVF by non-resident women in the country, to arrive at a correct estimate of the weight of IVF in total births. We also discuss what kind of improvements could make this registry more useful, for the purposes of demographic and social analysis, but also to be able to better measure the effectiveness of these techniques. This paper shows the limits of having only aggregated data. In the near future, the SEF registry will become individual, and it is hoped that it can be even more useful in determining the impact of IVF and to what degree public demand is fulfilled.

Background and objectives

The registry of In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) in Spain is not complete until 2014. Here we reconstruct the series of cycles for the period 1999–2019 correcting for non-participation which allows us to estimate the weight of births from IVF in Spain, taking also into account pregnancies with unknown evolution as well as the demand of women residing abroad. We also discuss what kind of improvements could make this registry and the corresponding reports made by the Sociedad Española de Fertilidad (SEF) more useful, for the purposes of demographic and social analysis, in the light of the transition to an individual registry in upcoming years.

Materials and methods

We use SEF reports on IVF and information on comparable registries for other countries and for Catalonia. We use also the Spanish Fertility Survey of 2018 to check the results of our estimates.

Results

We estimate that in year 2019 around 6.5% of births in Spain correspond to IVFs, very close to the figure for Denmark, the European country with the highest level. The proportion of deliveries lost to follow-up was high in the 2000s, over 20%, but lowered in the 2010s down to less than 10% and we estimate that in year 2019 around 35% of cycles were for women residing abroad. These estimates correlate well with what we observe from the Spanish Fertility Survey of 2018.

Conclusions

Using data on IVF in Spain for demographic analysis is harder than it should be, which forces to conduct a very thorough analysis of the reports and to make guess estimates in order to obtain useful results. Also, the aggregate nature of the registry considerably limits the analysis. We hope that the individual register which will start hopefully in 2022 or 2023 will help in improving the quality of the research on factors and characteristics of IVF in Spain.

西班牙体外受精对人口的影响
在本文中,我们分析了西班牙生育学会(SEF)登记的体外受精(IVF)数据。这个登记直到2014年才完成,当时它开始成为强制性的,因为一部分诊所直到那一年才报告。此外,关于患者的信息非常有限。我们的第一个目的是估计1999-2019年期间西班牙试管婴儿获得的出生数量,校正未参与的情况。从这个意义上说,我们强调了估计未知进化的怀孕数量和该国非居民妇女对试管婴儿的需求的重要性,以便正确估计试管婴儿在总出生中的重量。我们还讨论了什么样的改进可以使这个注册表更有用,以便进行人口统计和社会分析,同时也能够更好地衡量这些技术的有效性。本文展示了仅使用聚合数据的局限性。在不久的将来,SEF注册将变得个性化,希望它能在确定试管婴儿的影响和满足公众需求的程度方面发挥更大的作用。背景和目的西班牙的体外受精(IVF)登记直到2014年才完成。在这里,我们重建了1999-2019年期间的一系列周期,校正了未参与的情况,这使我们能够估计西班牙试管婴儿出生的体重,同时考虑到未知进化的怀孕以及居住在国外的妇女的需求。我们还讨论了在今后几年向个人登记过渡的情况下,什么样的改进可以使这一登记和Española生育社会协会(SEF)所作的相应报告在人口和社会分析方面更有用。材料和方法我们使用SEF关于试管婴儿的报告以及其他国家和加泰罗尼亚的可比登记处的信息。我们还使用2018年西班牙生育率调查来检查我们的估计结果。我们估计,在2019年,西班牙约6.5%的新生儿对应于试管婴儿,非常接近丹麦的数字,丹麦是欧洲最高水平的国家。在2000年代,由于随访而失去的分娩比例很高,超过20%,但在2010年代下降到不到10%,我们估计2019年约有35%的周期是居住在国外的妇女。这些估计与我们从2018年西班牙生育率调查中观察到的结果非常吻合。使用西班牙试管婴儿数据进行人口分析比它应该做的要困难,这迫使对报告进行非常彻底的分析,并进行猜测估计,以获得有用的结果。此外,注册中心的聚合特性在很大程度上限制了分析。我们希望在2022年或2023年开始的个人登记将有助于提高西班牙试管婴儿因素和特征的研究质量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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