Systems approaches to the use of underground space in urban environments

IF 1.7 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
T. Rodriguez-Nikl
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Urban areas are coming under ever increasing strain.The population of urban areas has been steadily increasing over the last decades. For instance, as is shown in Figure 1, the proportion of urban dwellers has increased from 30% in 1950 to 55% in 2018 and is projected to rise to 68% by 2050. The rate of urbanisation is even more pronounced in less developed countries (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2018a). Furthermore, the urban population is increasingly concentrating into so-called megacities, i.e., ‘urban agglomerations’ with 10 million or more residents; the proportion of urban residents residing in megacities has increased from 3% in 1950 to 12% in 2015 and is expected to grow to 16% in 2035 (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2018b, 55, and 2018c). Because urban infrastructure is difficult to modify, as urban areas grow, new development must fit into the existing urban fabric. Moreover, as density increases, space will become more difficult to come by, requiring new ways of meeting the needs of urban dwellers. At a global scale, there is an increasing need to reduce resource use across all economic sectors, and disasters are increasing in frequency and their social and economic consequences. On top of this, the increased complexity and interdependency of infrastructure systems increases the chances of cascading infrastructure failures.
在城市环境中使用地下空间的系统方法
城市地区正承受着越来越大的压力。在过去的几十年里,城市地区的人口一直在稳步增长。例如,如图1所示,城市居民的比例从1950年的30%上升到2018年的55%,预计到2050年将上升到68%。城市化率在欠发达国家更为明显(联合国,经济和社会事务部,人口司2018a)。此外,城市人口越来越多地集中到所谓的特大城市,即拥有1000万或更多居民的“城市群”;居住在特大城市的城市居民比例从1950年的3%增加到2015年的12%,预计到2035年将增长到16%(联合国,经济和社会事务部,人口司2018b, 55和2018c)。由于城市基础设施难以改造,随着城市地区的发展,新的开发项目必须适应现有的城市结构。此外,随着人口密度的增加,空间将变得更加难以获得,这就需要新的方式来满足城市居民的需求。在全球范围内,越来越需要减少所有经济部门的资源使用,灾害的频率及其社会和经济后果正在增加。最重要的是,基础设施系统的复杂性和相互依赖性的增加增加了级联基础设施故障的可能性。
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来源期刊
Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems
Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
16.70%
发文量
10
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems is devoted to the advancement of systems thinking and systems techniques throughout systems engineering, environmental engineering decision-making, and engineering management. We do this by publishing the practical applications and developments of "hard" and "soft" systems techniques and thinking. Submissions that allow for better analysis of civil engineering and environmental systems might look at: -Civil Engineering optimization -Risk assessment in engineering -Civil engineering decision analysis -System identification in engineering -Civil engineering numerical simulation -Uncertainty modelling in engineering -Qualitative modelling of complex engineering systems
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