{"title":"Buy Coal, Cap Gas! Markets for Fossil Fuel Deposits When Fuel Emission Intensities Differ","authors":"Angelika Vogt, Achim Hagen, K. Eisenack","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3640313","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Climate policies can target either the demand or the supply of fossil fuels. While demand-side policies have been analyzed in the literature and applied in policy-making, supply-side policies, e.g. deposit policies, are a promising option and a recent research focus. In this paper we study deposit markets for two fuels that differ in emission intensity. We find that, with strategic action on the deposit markets, deposit policies are inefficient due to price manipulations within and between both deposit markets. Regarding the political economy of deposit policies, they generate more welfare for all countries if applied to both fuels as opposed to one or none. Further, for perfectly segmented fuel markets, importing countries do not purchase deposits of a sufficiently clean fuel. If fuels are substitutes and strongly differ in emission intensity, countries do not buy deposits of a relatively clean fuel. Finally, deposit markets can induce countries selling deposits to choose a cleaner fuel mix.","PeriodicalId":48724,"journal":{"name":"Law Probability & Risk","volume":"439 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2020-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Law Probability & Risk","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3640313","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"LAW","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Climate policies can target either the demand or the supply of fossil fuels. While demand-side policies have been analyzed in the literature and applied in policy-making, supply-side policies, e.g. deposit policies, are a promising option and a recent research focus. In this paper we study deposit markets for two fuels that differ in emission intensity. We find that, with strategic action on the deposit markets, deposit policies are inefficient due to price manipulations within and between both deposit markets. Regarding the political economy of deposit policies, they generate more welfare for all countries if applied to both fuels as opposed to one or none. Further, for perfectly segmented fuel markets, importing countries do not purchase deposits of a sufficiently clean fuel. If fuels are substitutes and strongly differ in emission intensity, countries do not buy deposits of a relatively clean fuel. Finally, deposit markets can induce countries selling deposits to choose a cleaner fuel mix.
期刊介绍:
Law, Probability & Risk is a fully refereed journal which publishes papers dealing with topics on the interface of law and probabilistic reasoning. These are interpreted broadly to include aspects relevant to the interpretation of scientific evidence, the assessment of uncertainty and the assessment of risk. The readership includes academic lawyers, mathematicians, statisticians and social scientists with interests in quantitative reasoning.
The primary objective of the journal is to cover issues in law, which have a scientific element, with an emphasis on statistical and probabilistic issues and the assessment of risk.
Examples of topics which may be covered include communications law, computers and the law, environmental law, law and medicine, regulatory law for science and technology, identification problems (such as DNA but including other materials), sampling issues (drugs, computer pornography, fraud), offender profiling, credit scoring, risk assessment, the role of statistics and probability in drafting legislation, the assessment of competing theories of evidence (possibly with a view to forming an optimal combination of them). In addition, a whole new area is emerging in the application of computers to medicine and other safety-critical areas. New legislation is required to define the responsibility of computer experts who develop software for tackling these safety-critical problems.