EXTERNAL AND DOMESTIC CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS FOR TURKEY AS A REGIONAL POWER AND THE ROLE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

Selcen Öner
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Abstract

Turkey, which has a democratic and secular political system with a predominantly Muslim population and an EU membership prospect, had an increasing influence in its region which increased its soft power. However, after the start of Arab uprisings, uncertainty in the Middle East and stall of the negotiations with the EU challenged Turkey’s soft power. This article discusses challenges and prospects facing Turkey’s regional power, especially since 2011. It firstly analyses the role of soft power in Turkish foreign policy and evaluates the series of soft power instruments. Secondly, it discusses the external factors challenging Turkey’s regional power, particularly the role of Arab uprisings, particularly Syrian crisis and domestic challenges that negatively influence Turkey’s regional power, particularly stagnation in the reform process, polarisation of the society, freedom of media and the rise of terrorism. Lastly the role of EU in Turkey’s soft power in spite of its decreasing transformative power over Turkey in recent years will be evaluated.
土耳其作为地区大国和欧盟角色的外部和国内挑战和前景
土耳其拥有民主和世俗的政治制度,人口以穆斯林为主,有望成为欧盟成员国,在该地区的影响力日益增强,这增强了它的软实力。然而,在阿拉伯起义开始后,中东的不确定性和与欧盟的谈判停滞对土耳其的软实力构成了挑战。本文讨论了土耳其地区力量面临的挑战和前景,特别是自2011年以来。首先分析了软实力在土耳其外交政策中的作用,并对一系列软实力工具进行了评价。其次,它讨论了挑战土耳其地区力量的外部因素,特别是阿拉伯起义的作用,特别是叙利亚危机和对土耳其地区力量产生负面影响的国内挑战,特别是改革进程停滞不前,社会两极分化,媒体自由和恐怖主义的兴起。最后,将评估欧盟在土耳其软实力中的作用,尽管近年来欧盟对土耳其的变革能力有所下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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