Risk assessment on unsafe behavior of coal miner based on Monte Carlo method

中国安全科学学报 Pub Date : 2020-04-28 DOI:10.16265/J.CNKI.ISSN1003-3033.2020.04.027

XU Surui

引用次数: 1

Abstract

In order to prevent coal mine roofꎬ gas explosionꎬ coal and gas outburst and water damage accidentsꎬ the unsafe acts of 100 coal mine accidents were analyzed by 2 4 Modelꎬ then the risk assessment model of coal miners' unsafe behavior based on Monte Carlo method was established. The risk value of accident behavior and the influence degree of unsafe acts on behavioral risks in each type of accident are studiedꎬ and accident prevention measures based on individual behavior level are proposed. The results shows that the risk of gas explosion accidents is the biggestꎬ followed by coal and gas outburstꎬ water damageꎬ and roof accidents. In additionꎬ three kinds of unsafe acts have a great impact on the risk of coal mine accident behaviorꎬ including " not effective water exploration" ꎬ " violation of regulations in construction and production" and " giving instructions against rules and regulations" .

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基于蒙特卡罗方法的煤矿工人不安全行为风险评价

为了防止煤矿顶板ꎬ瓦斯爆炸ꎬ煤与瓦斯突出及水害事故ꎬ发生，利用24模型对100起煤矿事故的不安全行为进行了分析ꎬ，建立了基于蒙特卡罗方法的煤矿工人不安全行为风险评价模型。研究了各类事故中事故行为的风险值和不安全行为对行为风险的影响程度ꎬ，并提出了基于个体行为水平的事故预防措施。结果表明:瓦斯爆炸事故危险性最大ꎬ其次是煤与瓦斯突出ꎬ水害ꎬ和顶板事故;此外ꎬ三种不安全行为对煤矿事故发生风险影响较大的行为ꎬ包括“不有效找水”ꎬ“违章建设和生产”和“违章指挥”。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

中国安全科学学报

CiteScore

1.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

8733

期刊介绍： China Safety Science Journal is administered by China Association for Science and Technology and sponsored by China Occupational Safety and Health Association (formerly China Society of Science and Technology for Labor Protection). It was first published on January 20, 1991 and was approved for public distribution at home and abroad. China Safety Science Journal (CN 11-2865/X ISSN 1003-3033 CODEN ZAKXAM) is a monthly magazine, 12 issues a year, large 16 folo, the domestic price of each book is 40.00 yuan, the annual price is 480.00 yuan. Mailing code 82-454. Honors: Scopus database includes journals in the field of safety science of high-quality scientific journals classification catalog T1 level National Chinese core journals China Science and technology core journals CSCD journals The United States "Chemical Abstracts" search included the United States "Cambridge Scientific Abstracts: Materials Information" search included