Is it Time to Move Away? How Hurricanes Affect Future Plans

M. Welch-Devine, B. Orland
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Using surveys and interviews in the aftermath of Hurricanes Matthew and Irma, we investigated people's reasons for living on the coast of Georgia, their expectations for the future, and their intentions to stay in place or migrate away from the coast. We found that age, income, and ethnicity all play small but significant roles in determining intention to migrate, but that more intangible elements such as changes in quality of life or lifestyle may be more important. Many residents indicated a preference for remaining close if they were to permanently leave their homes, and residents were more likely to indicate a preference for staying in place after Irma than after Matthew. Residents may have many reasons for becoming more reluctant to move – complacency borne out of repeated “near misses”, increased awareness of the likely costs and inconvenience of re-location, or the realization that specific impacts are highly variable—making responses by coastal planners and managers more challenging.
是时候搬家了吗?飓风如何影响未来计划
在飓风“马修”和“厄玛”过后,我们通过调查和采访,调查了人们居住在乔治亚州海岸的原因,他们对未来的期望,以及他们留在原地或从海岸迁移的意图。我们发现,年龄、收入和种族在决定移民意愿方面都起着很小但很重要的作用,但生活质量或生活方式的变化等更无形的因素可能更重要。许多居民表示,如果他们要永久离开他们的家,他们更倾向于留在附近,居民更倾向于在厄玛之后留在原地,而不是在马修之后。居民变得更不愿意搬迁的原因可能有很多——由于一再“险些”而产生的自满情绪,对搬迁可能带来的成本和不便的日益认识,或者认识到具体影响是高度可变的——这使得沿海规划者和管理者的反应更具挑战性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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