‘Form is temporary, class is permanent’: identifying a longer-term hot hand in golf

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.1515/jqas-2022-0051

R. Baker, Ian G. McHale

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract The existence (or not) of the hot hand in sport continues to attract the attention of economists and psychologists. The paper presents analysis to test the belief prevalent in golfing circles that golfers go in and out of form quickly, while ‘class’ remains relatively constant. By going in and out of form, the golfer is effectively experiencing a longer-run hot hand: one can speculate that periods of confidence breed good performance. To test for the existence of ‘form’, we present a new application of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model and use it to identify both a golfer’s class and form when modelling golf scores. The findings suggest that short-term form does exist in golf and that this hot hand lasts for about four weeks.

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“状态是暂时的，水平是永久的”:识别高尔夫球的长期热手

体育运动中热手的存在与否一直吸引着经济学家和心理学家的关注。这篇论文提出了一种分析来检验高尔夫圈中普遍存在的一种观点，即高尔夫球手的状态变化很快，而“等级”则相对稳定。通过状态的好坏，高尔夫球手实际上是在经历一段较长时间的热手期:人们可以推测，自信的时期孕育了良好的表现。为了检验“形式”的存在，我们提出了一种新的应用Ornstein-Uhlenbeck模型，并使用它在建模高尔夫分数时识别高尔夫球手的类别和形式。研究结果表明，短期的热手状态确实存在于高尔夫运动中，而且这种热手状态会持续四周左右。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.