Exploring Novel Approach in Determining Stock Performance

Umer Ilyas, Mattiullah Butt, M. Gulzar
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Abstract

This study explores the impact of exports, foreign direct investment, foreign exchange reserves, inflation and interest rate with the aid of Panel ARDL model with co-integration upon not only overall on all 35 sectors of Pakistan stock exchange but also on all firms of all sectors as well to overcome the deficiencies of conventional index base studies. To achieve this objective monthly data for the period of 2005-2020 were used and results indicates that current study has superiority over past studies as overall sector and firms from same sectors shows differing response to changes in value of macro-economic variables and this will lead to better decision making to all stake holders.
探索确定股票表现的新方法
本研究借助协整面板ARDL模型,探讨了出口、外国直接投资、外汇储备、通货膨胀和利率对巴基斯坦证券交易所所有35个部门的总体影响,以及对所有部门的所有公司的影响,以克服传统指数基础研究的不足。为了实现这一目标,我们使用了2005-2020年期间的月度数据,结果表明,当前的研究优于过去的研究,因为来自同一部门的整体部门和公司对宏观经济变量的价值变化表现出不同的反应,这将导致所有利益相关者做出更好的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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