Entre proyecciones a futuro e incertidumbre: el conocimiento anticipatorio en el desarrollo de dos sectores tecnológicos en Argentina

Abstract

anticipatorio” futuro- los sectores tecnológicos Argentina: las tecnologías energéticas y las nanotecnologías. de los casos estudiados, una sola de anticipar el futuro, se encuentran dos micro-regímenes de conocimiento anticipatorio. el caso de las tecnologías energéticas, los conocimientos anticipatorios funcionan un instrumento de gobernanza evaluar comparativamente las opciones técnicas y establecer prioridades de inversión en función de consideraciones políticas ABSTRACT The future, as an object of knowledge and action, constitutes a crucial dimension of scientific and technological activities. The present article analyses the role of “anticipatory knowledge” – i.e. knowledge about the future- in the cases of two technological sectors in Argentina: energy technologies and nanotechnologies. The comparative analysis enables the identification of two micro-regimes of anticipatory knowledge. In the case of energy technologies, anticipatory knowledge works as a governance tool that allows for the comparative assessment of technical options and the definition of investment priorities which depends on political considerations and an assembly of indicators and planning techniques (models and scenarios). In the case of nanotechnologies, on the other hand, the anticipatory knowledge that guides the present actions presents a much higher level of imprecision, since it requires that scientists and technologists project potential applications that they cannot define precisely. However, it constitutes a strategic resource that gives coherence to the multiple lines of research and STI policy actions that structure the techno-scientific communities of this emerging field.