Automation, Research and Investment Policies in Firms

D. Mitra, Qiong Wang
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Abstract

In our time automation, in combination with burgeoning fields such as Artificial Intelligence, has grown to be a significant factor, and with it the role of scientific and engineering knowledge in the working of firms has grown too. We present a model-based study of firms in which generation of new knowledge, and the application of accumulated knowledge are integral to business since these determine the range and scope of the firms' products, and also the efficiency of R&D and the production process. In our model the firm is organized as two functionally separate stages in series. Stage 1's activity is R&D which creates new concepts, methods and prototypes of products. Stage 2 deploys labor and capital, in the form of "machines'', in production, which transforms selected outputs of Stage 1 into marketable, profitable products. New knowledge is generated from dedicated research in Stage 1 as well as by Learning-by-Doing (LbD) in both stages. Knowledge is subject to obsolescence over time. The firm's investment policy determines the allocation of funds to each stage subject to a budget constraint, operations management controls the admission of the output of Stage 1 to Stage 2, and also the combination of labor and machines in Stage 2. We analyze the interaction of these decisions, and the dynamical evolution of the knowledge stock under two management strategies. The short-term-focused, myopic strategy takes the existing knowledge stock as given, and maximizes the immediate profit. The long-term-focused strategy takes into account the future benefits of generating new knowledge in the investment decision. We use commonly-used production functions to obtain nonlinear dynamical system models, which are analyzed. We show that for both strategies the system converges to a steady-state where the knowledge stock and investment allocation remain constant over time. In numerical studies we compare the system behavior for the two strategies, and characterize their dependencies on various factors, such as the strength of the LbD effect, return on knowledge stock, and the influence of knowledge in expanding the scope and range of the firm's products.
企业的自动化、研究和投资政策
在我们这个时代,自动化与人工智能等新兴领域相结合,已经成为一个重要因素,科学和工程知识在公司工作中的作用也随之增强。我们对企业进行了基于模型的研究,在这些企业中,新知识的产生和积累知识的应用对企业来说是不可或缺的,因为它们决定了企业产品的范围和范围,也决定了研发和生产过程的效率。在我们的模型中,公司被组织为两个功能独立的阶段。第一阶段的活动是研发,创造新的概念、方法和产品原型。第二阶段以“机器”的形式在生产中部署劳动力和资本,将第一阶段的选定产出转化为可销售的、有利可图的产品。新知识产生于第一阶段的专门研究以及两个阶段的边做边学。知识会随着时间的推移而过时。企业的投资政策决定了在预算约束下各个阶段的资金分配,运营管理控制了阶段1到阶段2的产出的准入,以及阶段2的劳动力和机器的组合。我们分析了这些决策之间的相互作用,以及两种管理策略下知识储备的动态演变。以短期为中心的短视策略,以现有的知识存量为给定,使眼前利润最大化。以长期为重点的战略在投资决策中考虑到产生新知识的未来利益。利用常用的生产函数得到非线性动力系统模型,并对模型进行了分析。我们表明,对于这两种策略,系统收敛到一个稳定状态,其中知识存量和投资分配随时间保持不变。在数值研究中,我们比较了这两种策略的系统行为,并描述了它们对各种因素的依赖关系,如LbD效应的强度、知识储备的回报以及知识在扩大公司产品范围和范围方面的影响。
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