Advances in Intelligent Expert Systems for Risk Analysis in a Complex Business Environment with Appropriate Solutions

IF 0.9 Q3 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Honglei Zhang, Zhenbo Zang, Hongjun Zhu, C. Vignesh
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Today’s commonly used risk management procedures allow the planning team to focus on sensitive areas. It focuses the project team’s attention on activities and resources when a great risk threat exists or when the most time- and effective-engineering solutions can achieve expense reductions. Industrial security issues have worsened dramatically over the last decade. Over time, the risks in the sector rose as limited, single-train or batch operations shifted to massive multi-train operations. Often an accident leads to detrimental effects: shutting down the operation, loss of life, environmental disruption, and loss of business. The reparation of losses from the budget is unwelcome since the government’s reserve will not cope with these needs. This paper has a definitive comparative edge for company sponsors for project risk management (PRM) strategy. The sponsors who knowingly take chances, forecast unfavorable developments, defend themselves against unforeseen incidents and gain experience in price danger take the lead. However, this market benefit is largely dependent on the method to initially identify risks in the architecture of extensive multidisciplinary capital ventures. This paper explores how a sustainable market strategy works in reality. Using the market model, the business issues that need to be considered during the implementation or expansion of urban strategies are discussed. The PRM strategy shows a better-quality assurance ratio of 97.2%, probability ratio of 95.3%, safety rate of 97.5%, reduced risk management rate of 22.6%, an accident rate of 17.4%, cost management of 25.1% and fuel consumption ratio of 23.7% when compared to existing strategies.
复杂商业环境中风险分析的智能专家系统及其解决方案研究进展
今天常用的风险管理程序允许计划团队关注敏感区域。它将项目团队的注意力集中在存在巨大风险威胁的活动和资源上,或者当最省时和最有效的工程解决方案可以实现费用削减时。工业安全问题在过去十年中急剧恶化。随着时间的推移,随着有限的单列或批量操作转向大规模的多列操作,该行业的风险也在上升。事故通常会导致不利影响:停产、人员伤亡、环境破坏和业务损失。从预算中弥补损失是不受欢迎的,因为政府的储备不足以应付这些需求。本文对项目风险管理(PRM)策略的公司发起人具有明确的比较优势。那些有意识地抓住机会、预测不利的发展、防范不可预见的事件并在价格危险中积累经验的赞助商占据了领先地位。然而,这种市场效益在很大程度上取决于在广泛的多学科资本投资架构中最初识别风险的方法。本文探讨了可持续市场战略如何在现实中发挥作用。利用市场模型,讨论了城市战略实施或扩展过程中需要考虑的商业问题。与现有策略相比,PRM策略的质量保证率为97.2%,概率率为95.3%,安全率为97.5%,风险管理率为22.6%,事故率为17.4%,成本管理率为25.1%,燃油消耗率为23.7%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
25.00%
发文量
26
期刊介绍: IJRQSE is a refereed journal focusing on both the theoretical and practical aspects of reliability, quality, and safety in engineering. The journal is intended to cover a broad spectrum of issues in manufacturing, computing, software, aerospace, control, nuclear systems, power systems, communication systems, and electronics. Papers are sought in the theoretical domain as well as in such practical fields as industry and laboratory research. The journal is published quarterly, March, June, September and December. It is intended to bridge the gap between the theoretical experts and practitioners in the academic, scientific, government, and business communities.
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