Adam Smith

J. Caunedo, Riccardo DiCecio
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Abstract

Shortcomings of and Improvements to Measures of Income across Countries T he task of building measures of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) that allow for comparing standards of living across countries presents several challenges. In addition, data revisions can have surprising effects. Consider two examples: • The 2010 version of the World Bank's World Development Indicators (WDI) implies that the United States was 10 times richer than China in 2005; the previous version (2007) implied that the United States was six times richer than China for the same year. Also for 2005, India was 12 times poorer than the United States in the first version of the WDI and 18 times poorer in the latest version. • A popular source of real GDP data used in countless studies, the Penn World Table (PWT), 2 is not free of inconsistencies either. For example, differences between the latest two versions—both covering data for the year 1996—reach a standard deviation of 7.7 percent in annual growth rates for countries in the bottom third of the income distribution. 3 These discrepancies are relevant for policy decisions. For example, the European Commission uses GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP), in deciding how to allot structural funds; these funds— 25 percent of the EC's total budget—are used to smooth disparities between and within member states. 4 Also, assessing the success of policies designed to fight extreme poverty across the Every man is rich or poor according to the degree in which he can afford to enjoy the necessaries, conveniencies, and amusements of human life. world depends on the measure used to define the poverty line. 5 For example, when the World Bank decided in August 2008 that the official poverty threshold would rise from $1.08 of income a day to $1.25, an additional 430 million people around the world were automatically classified as being impoverished. There are alternative ways to measure output in an economy: adding up the value added in each sector of the economy (production approach) or adding the value of total expenditure, i.e., consumption, investment, government spending and net purchases from abroad (or current account). Most of the national accounting is done using the latter. One obvious difficulty in comparing income across countries stems from the fact that different countries use different currencies. The use of official exchange rates would not provide an adequate comparison. For example, if the Mexican peso …
亚当•斯密
建立能够比较各国生活水平的国内生产总值(GDP)指标的任务提出了若干挑战。此外,数据修订可能会产生令人惊讶的影响。考虑两个例子:•世界银行2010年版的世界发展指标(WDI)表明,2005年美国的财富是中国的10倍;之前的版本(2007年)暗示美国在同一年比中国富有六倍。同样在2005年,第一版《世界发展指标》中,印度比美国穷12倍,最新版则是穷18倍。•在无数研究中使用的真实GDP数据的流行来源,佩恩世界表(PWT) 2也不是没有不一致。例如,最新的两个版本(都涵盖了1996年的数据)之间的差异在收入分配的后三分之一国家的年增长率上达到了7.7%的标准差。这些差异与政策决定有关。例如,欧盟委员会(European Commission)在决定如何分配结构性基金时,使用经购买力平价(PPP)调整后的人均GDP;这些资金占欧共体总预算的25%,用于消除成员国之间和成员国内部的差距。此外,评估旨在消除全球极端贫困的政策的成功程度。每个人是富有还是贫穷,取决于他能负担得起享受生活必需品、便利和娱乐的程度。世界取决于用来定义贫困线的标准。例如,当世界银行在2008年8月决定将官方贫困线从每日收入1.08美元提高到1.25美元时,世界上又有4.3亿人被自动归类为贫困人口。衡量一个经济体的产出还有其他方法:将经济中每个部门的增加值加起来(生产法),或将总支出的价值加起来,即消费、投资、政府支出和从国外的净采购(或经常账户)。大多数国民核算都使用后者。比较各国收入的一个明显困难在于,不同的国家使用不同的货币。使用官方汇率不能提供适当的比较。例如,如果墨西哥比索…
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