Assessment of Rainfall Variability over Karnataka state in India

Abstract

Karnataka state situated in the southern part of India is surrounded by a long coast line and western ghat mountain regions on the western side. The rainfall distribution shows a large variability in different parts of the state. North interior part in the state receives less rainfall as compared to the south interior region, which receives moderate rainfall. Although coastal Karnataka witnesses a high rainfall and is one of the most important regions in the country, in recent years the state has faced drought because of less rainfall which may be attributed to the regional climate change. Because of the decreasing trend in rainfall almost all the important sectors like agriculture and water resources have been affected a lot in Karnataka. In this work, assessment of the spatial and temporal distribution of monsoon rainfall is presented in terms of the climatology, variability, trend etc. The time series analysis also indicated the increasing trend of rainfall as a whole but the trend in recent decades is very less as compared to the long term. The El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the regional rainfall pattern relation is also explored. The increase in heavy rainfall in recent times is observed from the analysis. This study can be useful in addressing regional climate change, understanding the local and large scale variability impacts and in can be a good input for preparing the policy formulation and pro-active disaster management.