Resident Perceptions of Crime: How Similar are They to Official Crime Rates?

John R. Hipp
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引用次数: 14

Abstract

This study compares the relationship between official crime rates and residents’ perceptions of crime in census tracts. Employing a unique dataset that links household level data from the American Housing Survey metro samples over a period of 25 years (1976-2000) with official crime rate data for census tracts in selected cities during selected years, this large sample provides considerable ability to generalize the findings. I find that residents’ perception of crime is most strongly related to official rates of tract violent crime. Models simultaneously taking into account both violent and property crime consistently found that property crime actually has a negative effect on perceived crime. Among types of violent crime, the robbery rate is consistently related to higher levels of perceived crime in the tract, whereas it appears a structural shift occurred in the mid-1980s in which aggravated assault and murder rates now impact perceptions of crime, even when taking into account the robbery rate.
居民对犯罪的看法:他们与官方犯罪率有多相似?
这项研究比较了官方犯罪率和人口普查区居民对犯罪的看法之间的关系。采用一个独特的数据集,将美国住房调查城市样本在25年(1976-2000)期间的家庭层面数据与选定年份选定城市人口普查区的官方犯罪率数据联系起来,这个大样本提供了相当大的能力来概括研究结果。我发现居民对犯罪的看法与官方公布的暴力犯罪率密切相关。同时考虑暴力犯罪和财产犯罪的模型一致发现财产犯罪实际上对感知犯罪有负面影响。在各种类型的暴力犯罪中,抢劫率始终与该地区较高水平的感知犯罪有关,而在20世纪80年代中期出现了结构性转变,其中严重的袭击和谋杀率现在影响了对犯罪的感知,即使考虑到抢劫率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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