The economic cost of mandatory reduction of electricity demand:: A CGE analysis of the Korean case

Hyerin Kim, Yungsan Kim
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Abstract

In this paper, we used a CGE model featuring detailed energy sec - tors to estimate the economic costs of two alternative policies of re - ducing electricity consumption. The first policy is to increase the electricity tariffs by 10 percent across the board. The second policy is mandatory reduction of electricity consumption for large indus - trial customers, which impose the same reduction rate on all target users. The simulation results show that the latter has greater nega - tive impact on the economy than the former. On annual basis, the former reduces real GDP by 0.062 percent and the latter by 0.085 percent when they both achieve the same overall power consump - tion reduction of 7.385 percent. These results confirm the princi - ple that a market-based approach to balance supply and demand is more efficient than a command-and-control approach
强制性减少电力需求的经济成本:韩国案例的CGE分析
在本文中,我们使用具有详细的能源部门的CGE模型来估计两种减少电力消耗的替代政策的经济成本。第一项政策是全面提高电价10%。第二项政策是对大型工业客户强制减少用电量,对所有目标用户实行相同的减费率。仿真结果表明,后者对经济的负面影响大于前者。按年计算,当两者实现相同的总能耗减少7.385%时,前者实际GDP减少0.062%,后者实际GDP减少0.085%。这些结果证实了一个原则,即以市场为基础的平衡供需的方法比命令和控制的方法更有效
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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