Argentina: Trade Patterns and Challenges Ahead

Paloma Anos Casero, Valentina Rollo
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Argentinean export growth was impressive during the recent economic boom (2003-2007). However, decomposing export growth reveals that the extensive margin (increases in exports of existing products to existing markets) dominates, while the intensive margin (increases in exports of new products or new markets) contributes little to export growth. Argentina's trade product concentration has increased in the past 10 years, and the main export products remain overwhelmingly natural-resource intensive. The little diversification of non-primary exports limits the country’s ability to weather a decline in export commodity prices. The country has had some success finding new export markets, especially in Latin America, but should seek to develop deeper trade relationships with high GDP export destinations such as the European Union and the United States. Another challenge going forward is the relatively low sophistication of exports and limited integration into the global production chains, falling behind regional competitors such as Brazil. This calls for policy measures to improve the ability of existing firms to innovate and compete successfully in global markets.
阿根廷:贸易模式和未来的挑战
在最近的经济繁荣时期(2003-2007),阿根廷的出口增长令人印象深刻。然而,对出口增长的分解表明,粗放型利润(现有产品向现有市场出口的增加)占主导地位,而集约型利润(新产品或新市场出口的增加)对出口增长贡献不大。阿根廷的贸易产品集中度在过去十年中有所提高,主要出口产品仍然是自然资源密集型产品。非初级产品出口的不多样化限制了该国抵御出口商品价格下跌的能力。该国在寻找新的出口市场方面取得了一些成功,特别是在拉丁美洲,但应寻求与欧盟和美国等高GDP出口目的地发展更深层次的贸易关系。未来面临的另一个挑战是,出口的复杂程度相对较低,与全球生产链的整合程度有限,落后于巴西等地区竞争对手。这就要求采取政策措施,提高现有企业在全球市场上创新和成功竞争的能力。
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