Credit Management and Profitability of Banks in Zambia

Kelvin Mukolo Kayombo, Carter Mwanamangala Bbune, Chitambo Mwape
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Abstract

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of credit management on profitability of banks in Zambia. Accordingly, the research question designed to guide the study was: To what extend do bank credit management policies and practices affect the profitability of banks in Zambia?To answer the research question above, the Return on Average Assets (ROAA) was computed as a measure of bank profitability, the dependent variable. Measures for independent variables such as leverage (the ratio of total debt to total net assets), asset quality (non-performing loan ratio) and credit risk (gross loans and advances to total assets, and loan loss provision ratio), which reflect bank credit management policies and practices were also computed. Bank size and percentage growth in annual income were included as control variables in the model. To analyze the data, a fixed effects regression model with dummy variables was employed, using panel data spanning 12 years from 2010 to 2021. The data encompassed 15 out of the 18 commercial banks operating in the country.The study found that the regression model accounted for 60% of the variation in bank profitability, of which 35% was attributable to the in-between subject variation and 25% to the independent variables. With respect to the effect of individual predictor variables on bank profit, the study found a statistically significant positive relationship with bank size, while the loan loss provision had a statistically significant negative correlation. Illustratively, a one unit increase in bank size enhanced bank profit by 0.019 units, ceteris paribus, while a one unit increase in loan loss provision decreased bank profit by 0.278 units, ceteris paribus. Furthermore, the study revealed that an increase in leverage and credit risk had negative but statistically insignificant effect on profit respectively, while growth and asset quality had the opposite but also statistically insignificant effect. Overall, the study concluded that credit management policies and practices, as measured by the independent variables, significantly affected bank profit performance in the country.
赞比亚银行的信贷管理和盈利能力
本研究的目的是评估信贷管理对赞比亚银行盈利能力的影响。因此,指导研究的研究问题是:银行信贷管理政策和做法在多大程度上影响了赞比亚银行的盈利能力?为了回答上面的研究问题,计算平均资产收益率(ROAA)作为衡量银行盈利能力的因变量。还计算了反映银行信贷管理政策和做法的自变量,如杠杆率(总债务与总净资产的比率)、资产质量(不良贷款率)和信用风险(总贷款和预支与总资产的比率)。将银行规模和年收入增长百分比作为控制变量纳入模型。为了对数据进行分析,我们采用了一个带虚拟变量的固定效应回归模型,使用了2010年至2021年12年的面板数据。该数据涵盖了在该国经营的18家商业银行中的15家。研究发现,回归模型对银行盈利能力变化的贡献率为60%,其中主体间变化占35%,自变量占25%。对于个别预测变量对银行利润的影响,研究发现与银行规模呈显著正相关,而贷款损失准备呈显著负相关。举例来说,在其他条件下,银行规模每增加一个单位,银行利润就会增加0.019个单位,而贷款损失拨备每增加一个单位,银行利润就会减少0.278个单位。此外,研究发现杠杆和信用风险的增加对利润的影响分别为负但统计上不显著,而增长和资产质量的影响相反但统计上不显著。总体而言,该研究得出结论,信贷管理政策和做法(以自变量衡量)显著影响了该国银行的利润表现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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