Modeling Production Facilities Using Conventional Process Simulators and Data Validation and Reconciliation DVR Methodology

Tom D. Mooney, Kelda Bratley, A. Amin, Timothy Jadot
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Abstract

The use of conventional process simulators is commonplace for system design and is growing in use for online monitoring and optimization applications. While these simulators are extremely useful, additional value can be extracted by combining simulator predictions with field inputs from measurement devices such as flowmeters, pressure and temperature sensors. The statistical nature of inputs (e.g., measurement uncertainty) are typically not considered in the forward calculations performed by the simulators and so may lead to erroneous results if the actual raw measurement is in error or biased. A complementary modeling methodology is proposed to identify and correct measurement and process errors as an integral part of a robust simulation practice. The studied approach ensures best quality data for direct use in the process models and simulators for operations and process surveillance. From a design perspective, this approach also makes it possible to evaluate the impact of uncertainty of measured and unmeasured variables on CAPEX spend and optimize instrument / meter design. In this work, an extended statistical approach to process simulation is examined using Data Validation and Reconciliation, (DVR). The DVR methodology is compared to conventional non-statistical, deterministic process simulators. A key difference is that DVR uses any measured variable (inlet, outlet, or in between measurements), including its uncertainty, in the modelled process as an input, where only inlet measurement values are used by traditional simulators to estimate the values of all other measured and unmeasured variables. A walk through the DVR calculations and applications is done using several comparative case studies of a typical surface process facility. Examples are the simulation of commingled multistage oil and gas separation process, the validation of separators flowmeters and fluids samples, and the quantification of unmeasured variables along with their uncertainties. The studies demonstrate the added value from using redundancy from all available measurements in a process model based on the DVR method. Single points and data streaming field cases highlight the dependency and complementing roles of traditional simulators, and data validation provided by the DVR methodology; it is shown how robust measurement management strategies can be developed based on DVR’s effective surveillance capabilities. Moreover, the cases demonstrate how DVR-based capex and opex improvements are derived from effective hardware selection using cost versus measurement precision trade-offs, soft measurements substitutes, and from condition-based maintenance strategies.
使用传统的过程模拟器和数据验证和调和DVR方法建模生产设施
传统过程模拟器的使用在系统设计中是司空见惯的,并且在在线监控和优化应用中的使用也在不断增长。虽然这些模拟器非常有用,但通过将模拟器预测与流量计、压力和温度传感器等测量设备的现场输入相结合,可以提取额外的价值。输入的统计性质(例如,测量不确定性)在模拟器执行的正演计算中通常不考虑,因此如果实际的原始测量存在误差或偏差,则可能导致错误的结果。提出了一种互补的建模方法来识别和纠正测量和过程误差,作为鲁棒仿真实践的一个组成部分。所研究的方法确保了在操作和过程监控的过程模型和模拟器中直接使用的最佳质量数据。从设计的角度来看,这种方法还可以评估测量和未测量变量的不确定性对资本支出的影响,并优化仪器/仪表设计。在这项工作中,使用数据验证和协调(DVR)检查了过程模拟的扩展统计方法。将DVR方法与传统的非统计、确定性过程模拟器进行了比较。一个关键的区别是,DVR在建模过程中使用任何测量变量(入口、出口或测量之间),包括其不确定性作为输入,而传统的模拟器只使用入口测量值来估计所有其他测量和未测量变量的值。通过对典型地面处理设施的几个比较案例研究,介绍了DVR的计算和应用。例如混合多级油气分离过程的模拟,分离器、流量计和流体样品的验证,以及未测量变量及其不确定度的量化。研究表明,在基于DVR方法的过程模型中使用所有可用测量的冗余值可以增加价值。单点和数据流领域的案例强调了传统模拟器的依赖性和互补作用,以及DVR方法提供的数据验证;它展示了如何基于DVR的有效监控能力制定稳健的测量管理策略。此外,这些案例还展示了基于dvr的资本支出和运营成本的改善是如何通过使用成本与测量精度权衡、软测量替代以及基于状态的维护策略进行有效的硬件选择而获得的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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