Turizm Yakınsaması Türkiye'de Geçerli mi? Fourier Adf Birim Kök Testinden Kanıtlar

Ceren Pehli̇van, Gökhan Konat, Ayşegül Han, Ferhat Özbay
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The positive effects of tourism on the economy are gradually increasing. These positive effects force countries to seek new policies to develop the tourism sector further. Turkey has a critical position in the tourism sector, and its main policy in this area is to increase its income. This study purpose of testing the validity of the convergence hypothesis for the countries located in different continents of the world in Turkey's international tourism market. The study covering the years 2000-2020 analyzed eight groups (Africa, America, Asia, Europe, Independent States, OECD, Oceania and non-national) with the data created by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK). The unit root test developed by Furuoka (2017) is used to test the validity of the convergence hypothesis. As a result of this study found model D to be the most appropriate method among the four proposed alternatives. Accordingly, it is seen that the convergence is not valid for Asia, Europe and Oceania. It is also concluded that convergence is valid for America, OECD, Non-National, Independent States and Africa.
旅游业对经济的积极影响正在逐渐增加。这些积极影响迫使各国寻求新的政策来进一步发展旅游业。土耳其在旅游业中占有重要地位,其在这一领域的主要政策是增加收入。本研究的目的是在土耳其的国际旅游市场中,对位于世界不同大陆的国家检验趋同假说的有效性。这项涵盖2000-2020年的研究分析了八个群体(非洲、美洲、亚洲、欧洲、独立国家、经合组织、大洋洲和非国家),数据来自土耳其统计研究所(TUIK)。使用Furuoka(2017)开发的单位根检验来检验收敛假设的有效性。由于本研究的结果发现模型D是最合适的方法中提出的四个备选方案。因此,可以看出,这种收敛性在亚洲、欧洲和大洋洲并不成立。研究还得出结论,趋同对美国、经合组织、非国家、独立国家和非洲都是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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