Growth in the Use of Photovoltaic Energy in Brazil

Sakamoto Renato
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Abstract

In a world of ever growing interdependence, energy is increasingly becoming a subject of international dispute, both on economic and political level. Responding to this challenge, national and international decision-makers are seeking new strategies to diversify the energy mix of their home countries and arrange for a more sustainable production. Brazil has vast amounts of untapped renewable resources with a number of advantages over developed countries. However, the role that renewable energies plays in the Brazilian market is still quite small (except for hydro power). Drawing from the German example, this paper aims to develop a guideline for a Brazilian incentive program that encompasses the so far neglected photovoltaic technology, and takes into account the country’s peculiarities. It highlights the potential and advantages that Brazil might have regarding gridconnected photovoltaic systems and makes a study of grid parity. This study was developed trough scenarios that identify when, how and in which regions of the country, photovoltaic generation would be competitive with conventional generation. The grid parity study of photovoltaic technology in Brazil was compared to a similar study developed in Europe. It showed, no matter the current cost of photovoltaic technology, it can be competitive with conventional generation in 2020 at the sunniest regions of Brazil, considering the worst scenario.
巴西光伏能源使用的增长
在一个日益相互依存的世界里,能源正日益成为经济和政治层面上国际争端的一个主题。为了应对这一挑战,各国和国际决策者正在寻求新的战略,使本国的能源结构多样化,并安排更可持续的生产。巴西拥有大量未开发的可再生资源,与发达国家相比具有许多优势。然而,可再生能源在巴西市场上的作用仍然很小(水电除外)。借鉴德国的例子,本文旨在为巴西的激励计划制定指导方针,该计划包括迄今为止被忽视的光伏技术,并考虑到该国的特殊性。它强调了巴西在并网光伏系统方面的潜力和优势,并对电网平价进行了研究。这项研究是通过确定光伏发电何时、如何以及在该国哪些地区将与传统发电竞争的设想进行的。巴西光伏技术的电网平价研究与欧洲开展的类似研究进行了比较。研究表明,考虑到最坏的情况,无论目前光伏技术的成本如何,到2020年,在巴西阳光最充足的地区,它都可以与传统发电相竞争。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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