The Impact of Regional and National Leaders in Subnational Elections in Spain: Evidence from Andalusian Regional Elections

IF 2.2 2区社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Publius-The Journal of Federalism Pub Date : 2021-02-27 DOI:10.1093/PUBLIUS/PJAA040

Carmen Ortega, Fátima Recuero, J. M. Trujillo, P. Oñate

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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Democracies have experienced two trends in the last decades: the growing personalization of politics and the increasing relevance of regions in the political process. This article addresses these trends by posing two questions: Do political leaders influence the vote in regional elections? Do regional party leaders have a larger impact on voter preferences than their national counterparts in regional elections? To answer these questions, we analyzed five regional elections held in Andalusia between 2004 and 2018. The results show that both national and regional leaders matter in regional elections. However, the effect of national and regional leaders is “conditioned” by the characteristics of the leaders themselves, their respective parties, and citizens’ party attachments. Additionally, there is no clear evidence that the type of relationship between national and regional leaders of the same party—cohesion-like or confrontation-like—and the electoral context variables may affect the voting decision in multi-level government systems.

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西班牙地方和国家领导人在次国家选举中的影响:来自安达卢西亚地区选举的证据

民主国家在过去几十年中经历了两种趋势:政治日益个人化和各区域在政治进程中日益重要。本文通过提出两个问题来解决这些趋势:政治领导人会影响地区选举中的投票吗?在地区选举中，地区政党领导人对选民偏好的影响是否大于国家政党领导人?为了回答这些问题，我们分析了2004年至2018年在安达卢西亚举行的五次地区选举。结果表明，国家和地区领导人在地区选举中都很重要。然而，国家和地区领导人的效果受到领导人本身、各自政党和公民政党依恋的特征的“制约”。此外，没有明确的证据表明同一政党的国家和地区领导人之间的关系类型-凝聚力或对抗-以及选举背景变量可能影响多层次政府系统中的投票决策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Publius-The Journal of Federalism POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

4.00

自引率

11.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Publius: The Journal of Federalism is the world"s leading journal devoted to federalism. It is required reading for scholars of many disciplines who want the latest developments, trends, and empirical and theoretical work on federalism and intergovernmental relations. Publius is an international journal and is interested in publishing work on federalist systems throughout the world. Its goal is to publish the latest research from around the world on federalism theory and practice; the dynamics of federal systems; intergovernmental relations and administration; regional, state and provincial governance; and comparative federalism.