Simulating the Progression of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Analyzing the Effects of Vaccination

Ashley Seong, J. Han, Jungyoon Lee, Sungmi Lee
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Abstract

With thousands of COVID-19 cases on the rise, The project look back and see that it has already been more than a year and a half since the first COVID-19 case has been recorded. After months and months of the raging pandemic, many begin to wonder: what will it take to end it? As scientists and researchers scramble to come up with a global solution, many begin to educate themselves on the topic. In our paper, done by weeks of research, analysis, simulations, and coding, we look and touch upon the progression of COVID-19. Beginning with basic research, the project looked at the different types of vaccines that are being distributed, and found articles that mentioned the best way to end the pandemic worldwide. Along with basic research came simulating situations of the pandemic: this was done with none other than the programming language, Javascript, which was chosen for the fact that our simulation was going to be mostly web-based. Based on prior simulations, we came up with a model that was both accurate and visually intuitive. The project then used the simulation to obtain results and graph data. From the graphs that we obtained and kept, we were able to discuss and talk about the results that came up from it, such as analyzing the spread of the virus through different levels of masked or vaccinated individuals. From the basic steps of learning how to code to learning how to make graphs to represent the pandemic, we are able to grasp our current situation as well as educate others and ourselves on the biggest global concern today.
模拟新冠肺炎大流行进程及疫苗接种效果分析
随着数千例新冠肺炎病例的增加,该项目回顾发现,自第一例新冠肺炎病例记录以来,已经过去了一年半多。在疫情肆虐数月之后,许多人开始思考:怎样才能结束疫情?当科学家和研究人员争先恐后地想出一个全球性的解决方案时,许多人开始就这个话题进行自我教育。在我们的论文中,经过数周的研究、分析、模拟和编码,我们研究并触及了COVID-19的进展。该项目从基础研究开始,研究了正在分发的不同类型的疫苗,并找到了提到结束全球大流行的最佳方法的文章。除了基础研究之外,我们还模拟了流行病的情况:这是用编程语言Javascript完成的,因为我们的模拟主要是基于网络的。基于之前的模拟,我们提出了一个既准确又直观的模型。然后利用仿真得到结果和图形数据。从我们获得并保存的图表中,我们可以讨论从中得出的结果,比如分析病毒在不同程度的蒙面或接种疫苗的个体中的传播情况。从学习如何编写代码的基本步骤,到学习如何制作代表大流行的图表,我们能够掌握我们目前的情况,并就当今全球最大的问题教育他人和自己。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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