The year 2000 problem

M. Whatley
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Abstract

The purpose of this article is to discuss the root causes of the Year 200 Problem, the effects of the problem and how a systematic approach can be used to solve this problem. INTRODUCTION The Year 2000 Problem (Y2K), also known as the 'millennium bug,' may well be one of the largest problems facing organizations as they enter the 21st century. Computers are an integral component of an organization, organically of equal importance as financial resources and human resources. An organization's information system is the base on which all strategic and informa­ tional processes are developed, defined, and redefined. Therefore, the Y2K problem is not just a computer problem, it is a systemic business problem. A systemic approach will be needed to solve this problem. This is a business problem because information system (IS) managers must effectively plan for the reallocation of hundreds of IS workers and millions of dollars in each organization. The average cost to examine a line of COBOL code is $8.35, and the Gartner Group estimates that there are 180 billion lines of COBOL world wide (Freeman, 1998). This problem requires a commitment of business resources (humans, financial, and capital) and if left uncorrected puts the organization and its customers at risk. DEFINITION OF THE Y2K PROBLEM The Y2K problem is the failure of computers to correctly store, manipulate, and calculate dates from the 1900's to the year 2000, including leap years. The Y2K problem has existed since the beginning use of computers. Computers, like most technological products, are relatively ex­ pensive in the beginning of their product life cycle. They become less expensive as innovation and the evolution of technology produces superior products. Hard disk space in the beginning use of computers was very expensive and very precious, almost as precious as silver or gold. The cost
2000年的问题
本文的目的是讨论200年问题的根源,问题的影响,以及如何使用系统的方法来解决这个问题。2000年问题(Y2K),也被称为“千年虫”,可能是企业在进入21世纪时面临的最大问题之一。计算机是一个组织不可分割的组成部分,与财务资源和人力资源有机地同等重要。组织的信息系统是开发、定义和重新定义所有战略和信息过程的基础。因此,千年虫问题不仅仅是一个电脑问题,而是一个系统性的商业问题。解决这一问题需要一种系统的方法。这是一个业务问题,因为信息系统(is)经理必须有效地为每个组织中数百名is工作人员和数百万美元的重新分配制定计划。检查一行COBOL代码的平均成本是8.35美元,Gartner集团估计全世界有1800亿行COBOL代码(Freeman, 1998)。这个问题需要投入业务资源(人力、财务和资本),如果不加以纠正,将使组织及其客户处于危险之中。千年虫问题的定义千年虫问题是指计算机无法正确存储、操作和计算从1900年到2000年的日期,包括闰年。自电脑开始使用以来,千年虫问题就一直存在。像大多数技术产品一样,计算机在其产品生命周期的开始阶段是相对昂贵的。随着创新和技术的发展,生产出更优质的产品,它们变得更便宜。硬盘空间在开始使用计算机时是非常昂贵和非常珍贵的,几乎和白银或黄金一样珍贵。成本
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