Developing Glasgow Accord for COP-26 Using Game Theory

IF 0.7 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Nirwan, Y. M. Reddy, R. Rajeev
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The UNFCCC hosted its 25th convention, known as COP25, which cannot be considered to be a success among the climate change conferences due to the failure of 175 nations to agree upon the final details of the Paris Agreement proposed in 2015. The aim was to bring together nations across the globe and reduce the global temperature rise to 2°C, which was expected to be around 4.5°C to 6°C. The justifications for the incompetence can be attributed to a variety of aspects, including their inability to implement the intended nationally determined contributions (INDC). Since there is no overall governing body that can ensure strong implementation of the accords, the system needs to be self-regulatory without any vulnerability to international politics. This study develops a series of factors that can be considered for decision making, benefiting and rewarding to assure complete self-governance of these nations on the said climate accord, without making it vulnerable to the political relations among nations. This study uses pre-defined elements of Game Theory in order to achieve the required equilibrium, as a base for understanding decision making and proposing a possible system to create an acceptable result for the member nations.
运用博弈论制定cop26格拉斯哥协议
由于175个国家未能就2015年提出的《巴黎协定》的最终细节达成一致,联合国气候变化框架公约(UNFCCC)召开了第25次缔约方会议,即COP25,在气候变化会议中不能被认为是成功的。会议的目的是将全球各国联合起来,将全球气温上升幅度控制在2摄氏度以内,而此前的预期是在4.5到6摄氏度之间。无能的理由可以归结为许多方面,包括它们无法执行国家自主贡献(INDC)。由于没有一个全面的管理机构能够确保协定得到强有力的执行,该系统需要自我调节,而不受国际政治的影响。本研究开发了一系列可以考虑决策的因素,有利于和奖励确保这些国家在上述气候协议上的完全自治,而不会使其容易受到国家间政治关系的影响。本研究使用预先定义的博弈论元素,以达到所需的均衡,作为理解决策的基础,并提出一个可能的系统,为成员国创造一个可接受的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Climate Change
Journal of Climate Change METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
自引率
16.70%
发文量
18
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