Stimulative monetary policy of Russia and its instruments in the context of the sanctions war

O. Misko, A. Esipov, V. Samotuga
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Aim. To develop guidelines and instruments of the stimulating monetary policy of the Russian Federation (RF), contributing in the conditions of the sanctions imposed to increase the rate of economic growth and its efficiency.Tasks. Analysis of the state of the Russian economy, the main directions of its further de­velopment and regulation mechanisms; study of the financial potential of the Russian econ­omy (savings and investments) in conditions of closing access to financial markets and to in­ternational payment and settlement systems of developed countries; study of the ongoing monetary policy of Russia, its main components — monetary and fiscal policy, their impact on economic growth; analysis of modern monetary theory, existing views of Russian and for­eign economistsMethods. The authors applied the method of analysis in the process of studying the practice of monetary and fiscal regulation in Russia and abroad, carried out economic analysis. The ar­ticle reflects the research data of Russian and foreign specialists. A systematic approach, which provides for the interdependence of monetary, fiscal policy and macroeconomic regulation of the economy, investment and innovation development, was used.Results. The need to combine the ongoing restraining anti-inflationary monetary policy with a soft budget policy, providing incentives for modernization of enterprises, domestic demand and supply at the expense of targeted budget financing within the adopted state programs of socio-economic, structural and innovative development with reasonable limits of budget deficit and public debt has been established.Conclusions. In a stagflationary environment, it seems appropriate to pursue a strict anti- inflationary monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, restraining credit issuance and stimulat­ing the growth of savings. Closed access of RF residents to financial markets of developed countries with excessive monetary resources, limited opportunities for growth of domestic savings and savings, insufficient inflow of foreign investments due to high risks of Russian residents to foreign markets increases the importance of targeted budget financing in the context of state programs to expand and modernize production, structural reforms and in­novation development. To justify the limits of the deficit of state and municipal budgets and debts, it is necessary to apply the indicators of fiscal gaps. As the key rate of the Bank of Russia decreases, the financial market stabilizes, and the targets of targeted programs are met, budget financing is replaced by private investment, bank and commercial lending.
制裁战背景下俄罗斯的刺激性货币政策及其工具
的目标。制定俄罗斯联邦刺激性货币政策的指导方针和工具,在实施制裁的条件下为提高经济增长率及其效率作出贡献。分析了俄罗斯经济的现状,其进一步发展的主要方向和调控机制;在关闭进入金融市场和发达国家国际支付和结算系统的机会的情况下,研究俄罗斯经济(储蓄和投资)的金融潜力;研究俄罗斯现行的货币政策,其主要组成部分-货币和财政政策,对经济增长的影响;分析现代货币理论,现有的观点,俄罗斯和外国经济学家的方法。笔者在研究国内外货币财政调控实践的过程中,运用了分析的方法,进行了经济分析。这篇文章反映了俄罗斯和外国专家的研究数据。采用了一种系统的方法,该方法规定了货币、财政政策和经济、投资和创新发展的宏观调控之间的相互依存关系。已经确定需要将现行的抑制通货膨胀的货币政策与软预算政策结合起来,以牺牲在已通过的国家社会经济、结构和创新发展计划内的有针对性的预算融资为代价,为企业现代化、国内需求和供应提供激励,并合理限制预算赤字和公共债务。在滞胀的环境下,俄罗斯央行似乎应该采取严格的反通胀货币政策,限制信贷发放,刺激储蓄增长。在货币资源过剩、国内储蓄和储蓄增长机会有限的发达国家,俄罗斯居民无法进入金融市场,由于俄罗斯居民对外国市场的高风险,外国投资流入不足,这些都增加了在国家扩大生产和现代化、结构改革和创新发展计划背景下,有针对性的预算融资的重要性。为了证明州和市政预算和债务的赤字限制是合理的,有必要应用财政缺口指标。随着俄罗斯央行关键利率的下降,金融市场的稳定,以及目标计划的实现,预算融资被私人投资、银行和商业贷款所取代。
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