Comparison of the prognostic value of platelet-based prognostic models in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE therapy 1

Qiancheng Du, C. Hu, Yan Yan Wang, Ying Zhou
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Abstract

Abstract Purpose: To investigate the prognostic value of 17 platelet-based prognostic scores in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE therapy. Methods: In total, 92 patients were divided into death group and survival group according to long-term follow-up results. The AUC was calculated to determine the optimal cut-off values for predicting prognosis. To determine better prognostic models, platelet-based models were analyzed separately after being showed as binary according to cut-off values. Cumulative survival rates of malignant hepatic tumors were calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and differences were analyzed by the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify platelet-based prognostic scores associated with overall survival. Results: Univariate analysis showed that APGA, APRI, FIB-4, FibroQ, GUCI, King's score, Lok index, PAPAS, cirrhosis, number of tumors, vascular cancer embolus, AFP, ALP and APTT were significantly related to prognosis. A multivariate analysis showed that the APGA, number of tumors, ALP and APTT were independently associated with overall survival. Conclusion: This study showed that the APGA, a platelet-based prognostic score, was an independent marker of prognosis in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE and was superior to the other platelet-based prognostic scores in terms of prognostic ability.
基于血小板的预后模型对肝恶性肿瘤TACE治疗后预后价值的比较
摘要目的:探讨17项血小板预后评分在肝恶性肿瘤TACE治疗后的预后价值。方法:92例患者根据长期随访结果分为死亡组和生存组。计算AUC以确定预测预后的最佳临界值。为了确定更好的预后模型,基于血小板的模型在根据临界值显示为二值后分别进行分析。采用Kaplan-Meier曲线计算肝恶性肿瘤的累积生存率,采用log-rank检验分析差异。进行单因素和多因素分析,以确定与总生存相关的基于血小板的预后评分。结果:单因素分析显示,APGA、APRI、FIB-4、FibroQ、GUCI、King评分、Lok指数、PAPAS、肝硬化、肿瘤数量、血管癌栓子、AFP、ALP、APTT与预后有显著相关。多因素分析显示,APGA、肿瘤数、ALP和APTT与总生存率独立相关。结论:本研究显示,基于血小板的预后评分APGA是肝癌TACE术后预后的独立指标,在预后能力方面优于其他基于血小板的预后评分。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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