Climate monitoring and heat and cold waves detection over France using a new spatialization of daily temperature extremes from 1947 to present

Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences
F. Besson, B. Dubuisson, P. Etchevers, A. Gibelin, P. Lassègues, Michel Schneider, B. Vincendon
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Abstract. For many years real-time climate monitoring for temperature over France has been performed using a national index built by averaging the daily mean temperatures of constant subset of 30 stations with long-term series. In order to derive climate indices at finer scales, a spatialization of extreme daily temperatures (called ANASTASIA) had been produced on a 1 km regular grid using a regression-kriging method. The production covers 1947 to present period. Cross-validation shows low biases after the 1960s. The temporal homogeneity of the product is satisfying at the national scale from the 1970s. However, a high impact of the network density has been found and the use of a too coarse observation network deteriorates the analysis creating temporal heterogeneities. Finally, the ANASTASIA analysis has been used for real-time monitoring over France and detection of heat and cold wave episodes. The new products based on ANASTASIA are consistent with the current operational ones at national scale while bringing added values at local scales.
利用1947年至今每日极端温度的新空间化,监测法国的气候及冷热波
摘要多年来,法国的实时气候监测一直使用一个国家指数,该指数是由30个站点的长期序列恒定子集的日平均温度平均值建立的。为了获得更精细尺度上的气候指数,使用回归克里格方法在1公里的规则网格上生成了极端日温度的空间化(称为ANASTASIA)。作品涵盖1947年至今。交叉验证显示,20世纪60年代以后的偏差较低。从20世纪70年代开始,在全国范围内,产品的时间同质性令人满意。然而,已经发现了网络密度的高影响,并且使用过于粗糙的观测网络会使分析恶化,从而产生时间异质性。最后,ANASTASIA分析已用于法国的实时监测和检测热流和寒流事件。基于ANASTASIA的新产品与目前在全国范围内运营的产品一致,同时在当地范围内带来附加值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Geophysics
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
22 weeks
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