Numerical and Model Analysis of the Development Trend of Renewable Energy in China

Abstract

At present, the clean and low-carbon energy has become the development trend of all countries. Especially in China, the coal based energy structure not only guarantees the social and economic development of the country, but also causes serious ecological damage, so the energy transformation is imminent. The development of renewable energy is an important choice for energy transformation. This paper uses mathematical model to calculate the overall development trend of China's energy, and then uses diamond model to analyze the macro environment for renewable energy industry, to clarify the basis and challenges for renewable energy industry, so as to provide reference for the formulation of macro policies and industrial. Introduction Diamond model through four factors of industry, namely production factors, demand conditions, supporting industries and peer competition, in addition, there are opportunities and government two factors for comprehensive analysis. Using diamond model to analyze renewable energy industry is to analyze the production capacity, market demand, competition with traditional energy and advantages and disadvantages of policy. The diamond model is shown in Figure 1. Figure 1. Diamond model. Overall Situation of China's Energy Development Overall Situation of Energy Structure In 2018, China's primary energy consumption totaled 4.64 billion standard coal (tce) with electric power accounting for 25.5% of the terminal energy consumption [1] . Non fossil energy accounts for Enterprise strategy, structure and horizontal competition Related and supporting industries production factors Demand conditions Opportuni ty