Fertility preferences and subsequent childbearing in Africa and Asia: A synthesis of evidence from longitudinal studies in 28 populations

IF 1.5 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY
J. Cleland, K. Machiyama, J. Casterline
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

Survey data on fertility preferences have played a central but controversial role in fertility research and advocacy for family planning. We summarize evidence from longitudinal studies in 28 Asian and African populations on the relationship between preferences and subsequent childbearing. While we found no consistent association between women's desire to delay childbearing and subsequent fertility, the baseline desire of women to stop childbearing was a powerful predictor of subsequent fertility in all populations and increased in strength as overall contraceptive use in the study populations rose. Partners’ desire also exercised some influence but was of modest importance in most populations. However, the correspondence between desire to stop and behaviour was found to be far from perfect. Weak implementation of preferences by contraception is likely to be the major cause of this preference–behaviour discrepancy. Uncertainty and instability in preferences may also contribute to the discrepancy, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa.
非洲和亚洲的生育偏好和随后的生育:来自28个人群的纵向研究证据的综合
关于生育偏好的调查数据在生育研究和倡导计划生育方面发挥了核心但有争议的作用。我们总结了来自28个亚洲和非洲人群的纵向研究的证据,这些研究是关于偏好与随后的生育之间的关系。虽然我们没有发现女性推迟生育的愿望与随后的生育之间存在一致的联系,但在所有人群中,女性停止生育的基线愿望是一个强有力的预测因素,并且随着研究人群中总体避孕药具使用的增加而增强。伴侣的欲望也会产生一些影响,但对大多数人来说并不重要。然而,人们发现,停止欲望和行为之间的对应关系远非完美。避孕对偏好的执行不力可能是造成这种偏好-行为差异的主要原因。偏好的不确定性和不稳定性也可能造成差异,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
审稿时长
26 weeks
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