Structural Shifts in the Fuel and Energy Sectors of the Far East: A Spatial Analysis

IF 1.6 3区工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

Networks & Spatial Economics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.14530/se.2022.4.128-157

N. Dzhurka, O. Dyomina

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Abstract

This paper assesses the effects of the investment shock to the fuel and energy sectors of the Far East within the framework of the Eastern vector of Russia’s energy policy. We systemize the basic investment projects implemented in these sectors in order to increase export supplies of fuel and energy resources to the Asia-Pacific countries and assess the shifts in the structure of fuel and energy resources production in the region over the period from 2012 to 2019. In calculations, we use the classical and spatial versions of the method of structural decomposition of the growth rates of the sectoral indicators (shift-share analysis). On the basis of structural decomposition of the changes on the average annual number of employees and the GVA of the fuel and energy complex of the Far East at different spatial levels (national, macroregional (interregional) and regional) we draw the following conclusions: a strong impulse for development in the framework of the Eastern vector of Russia’s energy policy was given to extractive industries, their competitive effects were positive and overrode the negative shocks, which were destabilizing the national economy; an important factor in the economic dynamics of the extractive industries of the fuel and energy complex were gains/losses in inter-regional competition, but not spatial externalities; in the oil and gas industry, unlike in the coal industry, there is potential for formation of spatial externalities; developing faster than others, extractive industries remain enclaves in regional economies

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远东地区燃料和能源部门的结构变化:空间分析

本文在俄罗斯能源政策的东方向量框架内评估了投资冲击对远东燃料和能源部门的影响。我们对这些领域的基础投资项目进行了梳理，以增加对亚太国家的燃料和能源出口供应，并评估2012 - 2019年亚太地区燃料和能源生产结构的变化。在计算中，我们使用了部门指标增长率结构分解方法的经典版本和空间版本(偏移份额分析)。在对远东地区燃料能源综合体年平均从业人数和GVA在不同空间层次(国家、宏观区域(区域间)和区域)变化进行结构分解的基础上，得出以下结论:在俄罗斯能源政策的东方方向的框架内，对采掘业的发展给予了强烈的推动，其竞争效果是积极的，压倒了破坏国民经济稳定的消极冲击;燃料和能源综合采掘业的经济动态的一个重要因素是区域间竞争的得失，而不是空间外部性;与煤炭行业不同，石油和天然气行业有可能形成空间外部性;采掘业比其他行业发展得更快，在地区经济中仍然是一片飞地

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Networks & Spatial Economics 社会科学-运筹学与管理科学

CiteScore

4.00

自引率

4.20%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Networks and Spatial Economics (NETS) is devoted to the mathematical and numerical study of economic activities facilitated by human infrastructure, broadly defined to include technologies pertinent to information, telecommunications, the Internet, transportation, energy storage and transmission, and water resources. Because the spatial organization of infrastructure most generally takes the form of networks, the journal encourages submissions that employ a network perspective. However, non-network continuum models are also recognized as an important tradition that has provided great insight into spatial economic phenomena; consequently, the journal welcomes with equal enthusiasm submissions based on continuum models. The journal welcomes the full spectrum of high quality work in networks and spatial economics including theoretical studies, case studies and algorithmic investigations, as well as manuscripts that combine these aspects. Although not devoted exclusively to theoretical studies, the journal is "theory-friendly". That is, well thought out theoretical analyses of important network and spatial economic problems will be considered without bias even if they do not include case studies or numerical examples.