Assessing the Impact of Country Risk on the Investment Attractiveness of Russian Companies

K. Polyakov, M. Polyakova, M. I. Vasilevskiy
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Abstract

The ability to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) is a critical success factor for the development of any participant in the local market. One of the indicators that characterize the investment attractiveness is the economic value added (EVA). It reflects the market assessment of the company's profit potential. Some EVA assessment methodologies include the country risk assessment – a factor that is beyond control. This study analyzes the impact of this indicator on the investment attractiveness of an organization. The authors estimated the economic value added for some of the largest Russian companies using methodologies that take into account the country's risk level, as well as those methodologies that do not take it into account. The calculations used adjustments for EVA in line with specific features of Russian accounting. As a result, it was revealed that, regardless of industry affiliation, the investment attractiveness of Russian organizations decreases when the country's risk factor is included in its assessment.The article justifies the relevance of the developed approach to the assessment of investment attractiveness of companies based on country risk level as a factor that impacts the ability of organizations to generate profit, making it possible to detect hidden management problems. According to the authors, the application of this approach not only contributes to the solution of long-term and medium-term tasks of business development (for example, the creation of its infrastructure) but also greatly facilitates the entry of organizations into international markets.One of the authors' conclusions of the study is that using the methodological tools developed by them for analytical purposes requires improving the management of the investment attractiveness of an organization and, consequently, its objective assessment. The structure of economic value added can serve as a basis for making management decisions related to increasing investment attractiveness. According to the authors, the provisions formulated in the article can serve as a methodological guide for organizing business valuation based on the EVA in the Russian context. Results of the study can be of interest to managers, current owners of companies, and potential investors.
评估国家风险对俄罗斯公司投资吸引力的影响
吸引外国直接投资的能力是当地市场任何参与者发展的关键成功因素。衡量投资吸引力的指标之一是经济增加值(EVA)。它反映了市场对公司盈利潜力的评估。一些经济增加值评估方法包括国家风险评估,这是一个无法控制的因素。本研究分析了该指标对企业投资吸引力的影响。作者使用考虑到国家风险水平的方法,以及不考虑风险水平的方法,估计了一些最大的俄罗斯公司的经济增加值。根据俄罗斯会计的具体特点,对经济增加值进行了调整。结果显示,无论隶属于哪个行业,当将该国的风险因素纳入评估时,俄罗斯组织的投资吸引力都会下降。本文证明了基于国家风险水平评估公司投资吸引力的开发方法的相关性,这是一个影响组织产生利润能力的因素,从而有可能发现隐藏的管理问题。作者认为,这种方法的应用不仅有助于解决商业发展的长期和中期任务(例如,建立其基础设施),而且大大促进了组织进入国际市场。该研究的作者的结论之一是,使用他们开发的方法工具进行分析,需要改进对组织投资吸引力的管理,从而改进其客观评估。经济增加值的结构可以作为制定与增加投资吸引力有关的管理决策的基础。作者认为,本文所制定的规定可以作为在俄罗斯背景下组织基于EVA的企业价值评估的方法论指南。研究结果对管理者、公司现有所有者和潜在投资者都很有意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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