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{"title":"US property market outlook for 2003","authors":"Marc Louargand, Michael Gately","doi":"10.1002/bref.82","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>US real estate professionals are adrift in a quandary on a sea of uncertainty. At the beginning of 2003 there are weak fundamental conditions in the space markets for all property types, while capital continues to pour into the asset class. Transactions in 2002 would seem to indicate that real estate has become <i>more</i> valuable as the result of the recession of 2001 and the ensuing weakness in the US economy that has shown itself as an utter lack of demand for office space and weak conditions in the other property sectors.</p><p>The winds of uncertainty have not blown in this fashion since 1986 when office market fundamentals began to deteriorate while institutional funds poured into the transactions market. What should the investor believe? The poor conditions faced every day in the space market, or the ebullience found in the transactions market? Copyright © 2003 Henry Stewart Publications</p>","PeriodicalId":100200,"journal":{"name":"Briefings in Real Estate Finance","volume":"2 4","pages":"362-370"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2006-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/bref.82","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Briefings in Real Estate Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bref.82","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
US real estate professionals are adrift in a quandary on a sea of uncertainty. At the beginning of 2003 there are weak fundamental conditions in the space markets for all property types, while capital continues to pour into the asset class. Transactions in 2002 would seem to indicate that real estate has become more valuable as the result of the recession of 2001 and the ensuing weakness in the US economy that has shown itself as an utter lack of demand for office space and weak conditions in the other property sectors.
The winds of uncertainty have not blown in this fashion since 1986 when office market fundamentals began to deteriorate while institutional funds poured into the transactions market. What should the investor believe? The poor conditions faced every day in the space market, or the ebullience found in the transactions market? Copyright © 2003 Henry Stewart Publications
2003年美国房地产市场展望
美国房地产专业人士在充满不确定性的海洋中进退两难。2003年初,所有房地产类型的空间市场基本状况都很疲弱,而资本继续涌入这一资产类别。2002年的交易似乎表明,由于2001年的经济衰退,以及随之而来的美国经济疲软(表现为对办公空间的需求完全缺乏,以及其他房地产行业的疲软状况),房地产变得更有价值了。自1986年写字楼市场基本面开始恶化、机构资金涌入交易市场以来,不确定性之风从未以这种方式吹过。投资者应该相信什么?是太空市场每天面临的糟糕状况,还是交易市场的热情高涨?版权所有©2003 Henry Stewart Publications
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