Análisis predictivo y protencionalidad digital

Alan Diaz Alva
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Abstract

What do we mean when we say that algorithms are capable of predicting what is going to happen and anticipating our actions? In the following article I will analyse the phenomena of algorithmic prediction and behavioural anticipation, explaining their convergence in contemporary techniques of predictive analytics. First, I will deal with some possible misconceptions about the predictive capacities of algorithms by delving into probability theory. Secondly, I will take Bernard Stiegler’s post-phenomenological theory of algorithmic governmentality as a model to explain their capacity for behavioural anticipation. Lastly, I will present Mark Hansen’s Whiteheadian reading of predictive analytics, in which he provides a way to understand the ontological basis of the power of these algorithmic systems and also highlight their epistemological limits. Besides the theoretical purposiveness of this account, in the conclusion I will argue that this also provides us with new tools to extend Stielger’s pharmacological project further, opening up the possibility of thinking about ways in which algorithmic prediction could be implemented towards positive outcomes.
预测分析和数字预测能力
当我们说算法能够预测将要发生的事情并预测我们的行为时,我们是什么意思?在下一篇文章中,我将分析算法预测和行为预测的现象,解释它们在当代预测分析技术中的融合。首先,我将通过深入研究概率论来处理关于算法预测能力的一些可能的误解。其次,我将以斯蒂格勒(Bernard Stiegler)的后现象学算法治理理论为模型,解释它们的行为预期能力。最后,我将介绍Mark Hansen对预测分析的whitehead式解读,他在其中提供了一种理解这些算法系统力量的本体论基础的方法,并强调了它们的认识论局限性。除了这个描述的理论目的之外,在结论中,我将认为这也为我们提供了进一步扩展Stielger药理学项目的新工具,开辟了思考算法预测可以实现积极结果的方法的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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48
审稿时长
12 weeks
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