Terrorism and Brain Drain in Pakistan: Is There a Connection?

Sidra Feroz, B. Yasmin
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study empirically investigates the effect of terrorism and other push and pull factors on the skilled labour out-migration in Pakistan over the time period 1973–2015. The empirical findings based on fully modified ordinary least squares (FM-OLS) technique suggest that the waves of terrorism have not significantly driven the out-migration of skilled labour from Pakistan. Relatively, traditional push factors including inflation, unemployment and rising capital share in gross domestic product (GDP) have remained the major factors behind brain drain from Pakistan. Comparatively, the per capita economic growth, poverty and host and origin country’s emigration policies have curtailed the skilled out-migration. The findings suggest improving socio-economic conditions, increasing GDP per capita and decreasing unemployment and inflation in order to control the out-migration of skilled workers from Pakistan. Besides, the domestic labour market is required to boost the absorption capacity of highly educated and qualified workers in the country by making them more compatible to the existing stock of capital to restrict the brain drain. JEL: F22, F52, J24, C32
巴基斯坦的恐怖主义和人才流失:有联系吗?
本研究实证研究了1973-2015年期间恐怖主义和其他推拉因素对巴基斯坦技术劳动力外迁的影响。基于完全修正的普通最小二乘(FM-OLS)技术的实证结果表明,恐怖主义浪潮并没有显著推动熟练劳动力从巴基斯坦向外迁移。相对而言,包括通货膨胀、失业和国内生产总值(GDP)中资本份额上升在内的传统推动因素仍然是巴基斯坦人才流失的主要因素。相比之下,人均经济增长、贫困以及东道国和原籍国的移民政策限制了技术人员的外迁。调查结果表明,改善社会经济条件,增加人均国内生产总值,减少失业和通货膨胀,以便控制巴基斯坦技术工人的外移。此外,需要国内劳动力市场提高该国对受过高等教育和合格工人的吸收能力,使他们与现有的资本存量更相容,以限制人才外流。j22, f52, j24, c32
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来源期刊
South Asia Economic Journal
South Asia Economic Journal Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: The South Asian nations have progressively liberalized their economies in recent years in an effort to integrate with the world economy. They have also taken steps to enhance multilateral and regional economic integration. Even though the South Asian economies have grown at an average rate of more than 5 per cent over the last few years, roughly 40 per cent of their people still live below the poverty line. Hence, the South Asian region continues to face many challenges of economic and social development. The South Asia Economic Journal (SAEJ) is designed as a forum for informed debate on these issues, which are of vital importance to the people of the region who comprise one-sixth of the world’s population. The peer-reviewed journal is devoted to economic analysis and policy options aimed at promoting cooperation among the countries comprising South Asia. It also discusses South Asia’s position on global economic issues, its relations with other regional groupings and its response to global developments. We also welcome contributions to inter-disciplinary analysis on South Asia. As a refereed journal, SAEJ carries articles by scholars, economic commentators,policy-makers and officials, from both the private and public sectors. Our aim is to create a vibrant research space to explore the multidimensional economic issues of concern to scholars working on South Asia. Among the issues debated in relation to South Asia are: - the implications of global economic trends; - the issues and challenges by WTO; - approaches to industrialization and development; - the role of regional institutions such as the SAARC; - the relationship between SAARC and other regional economic groupings such as ASEAN; - the implications of economic liberalization for trade and investment in the region; - new initiatives that can be launched to enhance economic cooperation among the South Asian countries both on a bilateral and a regional basis.
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