PENILAIAN RISIKO BENDUNGAN SAGULING DENGAN METODE TRADISIONAL, METODE POHON KEJADIAN DAN METODE MODIFIKASI ICOLD

Riksal Firmansyah, Ignatius Sriyana
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The role of dam infrastructure must be ensured from management and maintenance through good operational and maintenance provisions as to maintain level of service provision, extend life of productive assets and reduce risk of dam failure. Dam risk assessment can be used to prioritize dams based on risks. Risk assessment consists of risk analysis and risk evaluation. Purpose of this study is to conduct a risk assessment on Saguling Dam using traditional methods, event tree methods and ICOLD modification method to get an overview safety condition Saguling Dam. In conducting risk evaluation for ICOLD modification method, evaluate by comparing value of risk index to risk class. results of the risk identification analysis of this study that risk assessment using traditional method shows that risk of the Saguling Dam is unacceptable because this method does not describe each possibility in detail. Risk assessment using the event tree method shows that the risk of the Saguling Dam is acceptable. Risk assessment using the modified ICOLD method shows that the Saguling Dam belongs to category of Dam with moderate risk.
用传统方法、创世纪树方法和ICOLD改良方法对大坝的风险评估
必须通过良好的运营和维护规定,从管理和维护方面确保大坝基础设施的作用,以保持服务水平,延长生产性资产的使用寿命,降低大坝失效的风险。大坝风险评估可以根据风险对大坝进行排序。风险评估包括风险分析和风险评价。本研究的目的是利用传统方法、事件树方法和ICOLD修正方法对Saguling大坝进行风险评估,以获得Saguling大坝的总体安全状况。在对ICOLD修改方法进行风险评价时,采用风险指数值与风险等级值的比较进行评价。本研究的风险识别分析结果表明,使用传统方法进行风险评估表明,由于该方法没有详细描述每一种可能性,因此Saguling大坝的风险是不可接受的。采用事件树法进行风险评估,结果表明萨古岭大坝的风险是可以接受的。采用改进的ICOLD方法进行风险评估,结果表明萨古岭大坝属于中等风险大坝。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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