Prediction of Reservoir Properties from Seismic Data by Multivariate Geostatistics Analysis

Abstract

A new technique has been developed and is being improved, which allows, on the basis of probabilistic and statistical analysis of seismic data, to predict and evaluate the most important parameters of rock properties (including the reservoir properties such as porosity and permeability), that is, oil saturation, effective thicknesses of reservoirs, their sand content, clay content of seals, and others; it is designed to predict the reservoir properties with sufficient accuracy and detail, for subsequent consideration of these estimates when evaluating hydrocarbon reserves and justifying projects for the deposits development. Quantitative reservoir-property prediction is carried out in the following stages: –Optimization of the graph ("scenario") of seismic data processing to solve not only the traditional structural problem of seismic exploration, but also the parametric one that is, the quantitative estimation of rock properties.–Computation of seismic attributes, including exclusive ones, not provided for in existing interpretation software packages.–Estimation of reservoir properties from well logs as the base data.–Multivariate correlation and regression analysis (MCRA) includes the following two stages: Establishing correlations of seismic attributes with estimates of rock properties obtained from well logs.Construction of multidimensional (multiple) regression equations with an assessment of the "information value" of seismic attributes and the reliability of the resulting predictive equations. (By the "informative value" we mean the informativeness quality of the attribute.)–Computation and construction of the forecast map variants, their analysis and producing the resultant map (as the most optimal map version) for each predicted parameter.–Obtaining the resultant forecast maps with their zoning according to the degree of the forecast reliability. The MCRA technique is tested by production and prospecting trusts during exploration and reserves’ estimation of several dozen fields in Western Siberia: Kulginskoye, Shirotnoye, Yuzhno-Tambaevskoye, etc. (Tomsk Geophysical Trust, 1997-2002); Dvurechenskoe, Zapadno-Moiseevskoe, Talovoe, Krapivinskoe, Ontonigayskoe, etc. (TomskNIPIneft, 2002–2013).