Snowstorm catastrophes in the United States

Stanley A. Changnon , David Changnon
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

Extremely damaging snowstorms, those causing more than $1 million in property losses across the US, were studied, and the spatial and temporal characteristics of the storm activity during 1949–2001 were defined. There were 155 catastrophic snowstorms and they caused insured losses of $21.6 billion (2001 dollars). The northeastern US had the nation's maximum storm occurrences (79 storms), greatest total losses ($7.3 billion), and highest storm intensity. Two-thirds of all US losses occurred in the Northeast, Southeast, and Central climate regions, and storm occurrences and losses were least in the western US. The incidence of storms peaked during the 1976–1985 period and exhibited no up or down trend during 1949–2001. However, losses had a significant upward time trend, as did storm sizes and intensity. New York and Pennsylvania had the greatest number of storms with fewest in Montana, Idaho, and Utah. Time distribution of losses in the northeastern and southeastern US were U-shaped with flat time trends for 1949–2001. Losses in the western regions and Deep South had distinct upward trends in losses, storm intensity, and storm size. More than 90 percent of all storm losses in the western US have occurred since 1980. These findings indicate that rapidly growing population and property at risk have been major factors in increasing losses as well as atmospheric changes leading to greater storm intensity and size.

美国的暴风雪灾难
研究了在美国造成超过100万美元财产损失的极具破坏性的暴风雪,并定义了1949-2001年暴风雪活动的时空特征。全年共发生155次灾难性暴风雪,造成的保险损失达216亿美元(2001年美元)。美国东北部的风暴发生次数最多(79次),总损失最大(73亿美元),风暴强度最高。美国三分之二的损失发生在东北部、东南部和中部气候区,美国西部的风暴发生和损失最少。1976 ~ 1985年为高峰,1949 ~ 2001年无增减趋势。然而,损失有明显的上升趋势,风暴的大小和强度也是如此。纽约州和宾夕法尼亚州的风暴数量最多,蒙大拿州、爱达荷州和犹他州的风暴数量最少。1949-2001年美国东北部和东南部的损失时间分布呈u型,时间趋势较为平缓。西部地区和南方腹地的损失在损失、风暴强度和风暴规模上都有明显的上升趋势。美国西部90%以上的风暴损失发生在1980年以后。这些发现表明,快速增长的人口和处于危险中的财产是造成损失增加以及大气变化导致风暴强度和规模增大的主要因素。
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