A Goodness‐Of‐Fit Test for Time Series with Long Range Dependence

J. Beran
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引用次数: 89

Abstract

We propose a test statistic for goodness of fit in time series with slowly decaying serial correlations. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic, originally proposed by Milhoj for time series with smooth spectra, turns out to be the same, under the null hypothesis, even if the spectrum has a pole at 0. In particular, the test is suitable to detect lack of independence in the observations, or estimated residuals, if the first few correlations are small but the decay of the correlations is slow
具有长期相关性的时间序列的拟合优度检验
我们提出了一个检验统计量,用于序列相关性缓慢衰减的时间序列的拟合优度。Milhoj最初提出的光滑谱时间序列的检验统计量的渐近分布在零假设下是相同的,即使谱在0处有极点。特别是,如果前几个相关性很小,但相关性衰减缓慢,则该测试适用于检测观测值或估计残差中缺乏独立性
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