Beverage-Specific Alcohol Sales and Gender Difference in Suicide Rates in Russia

Razvodovsky Ye
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Background: In the Western world, males die from suicide three to four times more often than females. The reasons behind the gender gap in suicide mortality are hotly debated in the scientific literature. Russia retains one of the highest gender gap in suicide rates in the world. Some researchers have reported a close link between alcohol and suicide in Russia both in present and the past. Objective: The aim of the current study was to examine the aggregate-level relationship between the consumption of different alcoholic beverages and gender difference in suicide rates in Russia between 1970 and 2015. Method: The ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) modeling technique was used to evaluate the relationship between changes in the consumption of different types of alcoholic beverages and gender difference in suicide mortality across the study period. Results: The results of ARIMA analysis indicate that vodka sales is closely linked with gender difference in suicide mortality in Russia: an additional liter of vodka sales per capita was estimated to increase in the difference between male and female suicide mortality rates by 10.3%. Conclusions: This piece of evidence provides support for the hypothesis that high level of vodka consumption in conjunction with binge drinking pattern may be a major reason for the high gender difference in suicide rates and its dramatic fluctuations in Russia during the last few decades.
俄罗斯特定饮料酒精销售和自杀率的性别差异
背景:在西方世界,男性死于自杀的频率是女性的三到四倍。自杀死亡率的性别差异背后的原因在科学文献中引起了激烈的争论。俄罗斯仍然是世界上自杀率性别差距最大的国家之一。一些研究人员报告称,在俄罗斯,无论是过去还是现在,酒精和自杀之间都存在密切联系。目的:本研究的目的是检验1970年至2015年间俄罗斯不同酒精饮料消费与自杀率性别差异之间的总体关系。方法:采用ARIMA(自回归综合移动平均)建模技术评估研究期间不同类型酒精饮料消费量变化与自杀死亡率性别差异之间的关系。结果:ARIMA分析结果表明,伏特加的销量与俄罗斯自杀死亡率的性别差异密切相关:据估计,伏特加的人均销量每增加一升,男性和女性自杀死亡率的差异就会增加10.3%。结论:这一证据为以下假设提供了支持:在过去几十年里,俄罗斯自杀率的性别差异很大,自杀率波动很大,这可能是伏特加的高消费量与酗酒模式相结合的主要原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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