Analysis of the driving forces for changes in a regional energy sector's water consumption

Maihuan Zhao, Guiqin Jiang, Guanghui Ming, Qiong Su, Liming Ma
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Development within the energy sector is notably limited by scarce water resources in the energy bases of northwest China. Analyzing changes to the water consumption within the energy sector and the driving forces behind these changes offers an important way to understand the water-energy nexus and provide recommendation for the stakeholders. Taking the typical energy base of Ningxia in northwest China as an example, an empirical study is performed by analyzing changes in the direct and indirect water consumption of a regional energy sector using the input–output method. The driving forces of changes in the water consumption of the regional energy sector is identified using the LMDI (Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index) method. The results reveal the following: (1) In the period of 2011–2016, the water consumption of Ningxia's energy sector exhibited negative growth, and its direct and indirect water consumption decreased by 1.5914 million m3 and 11.664 million m3, respectively. (2) The increase in water-use efficiency in energy production was the primary driving force for the decrease in water consumption, followed by the decrease in total energy production. (3) Energy production restructuring from coal products to petroleum and electric power products resulted in an increase in water consumption. (4) The water-use stress faced by Ningxia's energy sector may be alleviated only by using alternative fuels to generate electric power whenever possible and continuously strengthening the popularization of water conservation techniques in Ningxia's energy sector. The above results provide scientific support for promoting sustainable economic and social development for typical energy bases in northwest China. Furthermore, the study proposes a method for quantitatively analyzing the contribution of multiple factors leading to changes in the water consumption within the energy sector.

区域能源部门用水量变化的驱动力分析
能源领域的发展受到西北能源基地水资源匮乏的明显限制。分析能源部门用水量的变化以及这些变化背后的驱动力是了解水-能源关系并为利益相关者提供建议的重要途径。以宁夏典型能源基地为例,运用投入产出法对区域能源部门直接和间接用水量变化进行实证研究。利用LMDI(对数平均分差指数)方法确定了区域能源部门用水量变化的驱动力。结果表明:①2011-2016年,宁夏能源部门用水量呈现负增长态势,直接用水量减少159.14万m3,间接用水量减少1166.4万m3;(2)能源生产用水效率的提高是耗水量减少的主要驱动力,其次是能源生产总量的减少。(3)能源生产结构调整,从煤炭产品向石油和电力产品转变,导致用水量增加。(4)只有尽可能采用替代燃料发电,并不断加强节水技术在宁夏能源部门的推广,才能缓解宁夏能源部门面临的用水压力。上述结果为促进西北典型能源基地经济社会可持续发展提供了科学依据。此外,本文还提出了一种定量分析导致能源部门用水量变化的多种因素的贡献的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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