Modeling the future of semiconductors (and test!)

Abstract

Which semiconductor products will drive manufacturing and test technology over the next 10 to 15 years? In the past, Moore's Law has been used to predict the continuing evolution of semiconductors. Now, however, we are seeing an explosion of new device, memory and heterogeneous integration technologies aimed at achieving "More than Moore" scaling of product value. By looking at the applications that drive this explosion of new technologies, we can begin to model what the future might look like, and how the industry can deploy cost-effective manufacture and test strategies in the coming years. Three applications in particular — Smart Phone, Datacenter and IoT — will continue to have great influence on both semiconductors and systems. The ITRS "2.0" semiconductor roadmap projects these applications into the future to model potential benefits of future technologies. What will semiconductors look like in the next 10 to 15 years? Let's find out!