The Fed's Re-Programming Strategy to Re-Energize the U.S. Economy During the Great Recession

Osama D. Sweidan, M. Raj, Hamid Uddin
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The main goal of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy is to decrease the spread between the interest rate on government securities and the firms’borrowing cost to maintain these firms. As a result, zero lower bound interest rate is adopted. Thus, this paper seeks to introduce an analysis to the Feds’ reactions and procedures to counter the great recession of 2007-2008 in an economic model which contains the mechanism of zero lower bound. The paper utilizes a backward-looking model to achieve its goal. The paper shows that within the context of zero lower bound mechanism the relationship between the inflation rate and real GDP is unstable. At the same time, when the level of macroeconomic indictors’ are set-up at zero level, the main engine to push the economy forward is the monetary policy shocks As a result, the paper concludes that in such circumstances aggressive measures and reactions are a necessary procedure to prevent the economy from falling into a deflationary trap. Moreover, the paper introduces a scenario of how the economy can get out of the great recession within the paper’s model. Besides, the paper illustrates that the remedy process is an accurate and sensitive step to the reactions in the economy.
美联储在大衰退期间重振美国经济的重新规划战略
美联储非常规货币政策的主要目标是缩小政府债券利率与公司维持这些公司的借贷成本之间的息差。因此,采用零利率下限。因此,本文试图在包含零利率下限机制的经济模型中,对美联储应对2007-2008年经济大衰退的反应和程序进行分析。本文利用回溯模型来实现其目标。研究表明,在零下限机制下,通货膨胀率与实际GDP的关系是不稳定的。同时,当宏观经济指标水平设定在零水平时,推动经济前进的主要引擎是货币政策冲击。因此,本文认为在这种情况下,积极的措施和反应是防止经济陷入通货紧缩陷阱的必要程序。此外,本文还在模型中介绍了经济如何走出大衰退的情景。此外,本文还说明了补救过程是对经济反应的一个准确而敏感的步骤。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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