{"title":"Pricing Death Bonds: Fair Value Measurement in the Life Settlement Market","authors":"Alexander Braun, Jiahua Xu","doi":"10.3905/6285","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) 13 and the AIFMD (Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive) require assets to be held at fair value. Life settlement prices are commonly determined by present value calculus. Yet, the asset class lacks an established approach for the determination of adequate discount rates. We estimate historical yield spreads used for pricing based on 2,863 transactions that occurred between 2011 and 2016. We then explain their cross section through hedonic regression methodology. Out-of-sample results indicate that market-consistent life settlement prices can be conclusively predicted using discount rates from our model.","PeriodicalId":53711,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Fixed Income","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Fixed Income","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3905/6285","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) 13 and the AIFMD (Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive) require assets to be held at fair value. Life settlement prices are commonly determined by present value calculus. Yet, the asset class lacks an established approach for the determination of adequate discount rates. We estimate historical yield spreads used for pricing based on 2,863 transactions that occurred between 2011 and 2016. We then explain their cross section through hedonic regression methodology. Out-of-sample results indicate that market-consistent life settlement prices can be conclusively predicted using discount rates from our model.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Fixed Income (JFI) provides sophisticated analytical research and case studies on bond instruments of all types – investment grade, high-yield, municipals, ABSs and MBSs, and structured products like CDOs and credit derivatives. Industry experts offer detailed models and analysis on fixed income structuring, performance tracking, and risk management. JFI keeps you on the front line of fixed income practices by: •Staying current on the cutting edge of fixed income markets •Managing your bond portfolios more efficiently •Evaluating interest rate strategies and manage interest rate risk •Gaining insights into the risk profile of structured products.