Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy Shocks

M. Bils, Peter J. Klenow, Oleksiy Kryvtsov
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引用次数: 75

Abstract

Models with sticky prices predict that monetary policy changes will affect relative prices and relative quantities in the short run because some prices are more flexible than others. In U.S. micro data, the degree of price stickiness differs dramatically across consumption categories. This study exploits that diversity to ask whether popular measures of monetary shocks (for example, innovations in the federal funds rate) have the predicted effects. The study finds that they do not. Short-run responses of relative prices have the wrong sign. And monetary policy shocks seem to have persistent effects on both relative prices and relative quantities, rather than the transitory effects one would expect from differences in price flexibility across goods. The findings reject the joint hypothesis that the sticky-price models typically employed in policy analysis capture the U.S. economy and that commonly used monetary policy shocks represent exogenous shifts.
粘性价格与货币政策冲击
具有粘性价格的模型预测,货币政策的变化将在短期内影响相对价格和相对数量,因为一些价格比其他价格更具弹性。在美国的微观数据中,不同消费类别的价格粘性程度差别很大。这项研究利用了这种多样性,来探究衡量货币冲击的常用措施(例如,联邦基金利率的创新)是否具有预期的效果。研究发现,事实并非如此。相对价格的短期反应有错误的信号。货币政策冲击似乎对相对价格和相对数量都有持续的影响,而不是人们所期望的不同商品价格灵活性差异的短暂影响。这些发现否定了一个共同假设,即政策分析中通常使用的粘性价格模型反映了美国经济,而常用的货币政策冲击代表了外生变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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