Budget perspective in Croatia after accession to the European Union

Petar Sopek
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Upon accession to the European Union, the New Member State’s budget undergoes significant structural changes due to the appearance of new categories of revenues and expenditures. The aim of this paper is to estimate the possible effects of Croatian membership in the EU on changes in the structure and size of budget revenues and expenditures upon the country’s accession to the EU in the second half of 2013, as well as to indicate the possibilities for utilization of EU funds in the new financial perspective up to 2020. It is shown that in 2013 Croatia might realize a positive net financial position in transactions with the EU budget in the amount of approximately 0.28% of GDP, i.e. EUR 136 m. The total net financial position of Croatia due to EU accession, which includes some additional costs and benefits like different harmonization and the need for project co-financing at state and local levels, is also positive in 2013 and amounts to approximately 0.15% of GDP or equivalently EUR 72 m. Total amount of all funds that Croatia might receive in the new EU financial perspective covering the period from 2014 to 2020 amounts to EUR 6.34 bn, whereby annual amounts increase from EUR 0.7 bn in 2014 up to EUR 1.2 bn in 2020. By using exponential regression analysis it is estimated that in 2020 Croatia should be a net recipient of funds from the EU budget in total amount of 1.72% of GDP, i.e. EUR 1.13 bn.
克罗地亚加入欧盟后的预算前景
在加入欧洲联盟后,由于出现了新的收入和支出类别,新会员国的预算经历了重大的结构变化。本文的目的是估计克罗地亚加入欧盟后,在2013年下半年加入欧盟后,其预算收入和支出的结构和规模的变化可能产生的影响,并指出在新的财政视角下,到2020年利用欧盟资金的可能性。研究表明,2013年克罗地亚可能在与欧盟预算的交易中实现积极的净财务状况,其金额约占GDP的0.28%,即1.36亿欧元。由于加入欧盟,克罗地亚的总净财务状况在2013年也是积极的,其中包括一些额外的成本和收益,如不同的协调和国家和地方层面的项目联合融资需求,约占GDP的0.15%,相当于7200万欧元。从新的欧盟财政角度来看,克罗地亚在2014年至2020年期间可能获得的所有资金总额为63.4亿欧元,其中每年的金额从2014年的7亿欧元增加到2020年的12亿欧元。通过使用指数回归分析,估计到2020年,克罗地亚应该是欧盟预算资金的净接受国,总额占GDP的1.72%,即11.3亿欧元。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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