Problems of financing the global energy transition

O. Khmyz
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Abstract

Aim. To identify the features of the global energy transition at the international level and assess the feasibility of its implementation in the given timeframe, taking into account available data on the financial resources allocated for this purpose.Tasks. To analyze the main trends in the global energy market in the modern conditions, putting an emphasis on the post-COVID period, to identify the main factors influencing the financing of the energy transition at the international level and the amount of investment necessary to achieve the goals of “net zero”.Methods. The study analyzed statistical data from representative sources of Goldman Sachs, BloombergNEF, LevelTen Energy, IRENA, Climate Bonds Initiative and others, which made it possible to identify current and longer-term (2008-2023) trends emerging in the global energy market.Results. The global energy transition process appears to be long-term, despite what has already been achieved in the global energy sector, as well as digitalization incentives and opportunities. This restructuring could prove beneficial for both alternative and conventional energy sources. In order to analyze the current situation and identify trends in the global energy market, the main influencing factors are highlighted: high fossil fuel prices, accelerated implementation of environmental technologies, cheaper clean technologies, and reorientation of energy supplies. This trend was evident in developed countries even before the COVID-19 pandemic and is spreading to more and more states, including developing ones. However, the financial resources currently allocated for its implementation are insufficient, which may result in failure to reach the zero goal by the target date of 2050.Conclusions. The findings of this study have confirmed the intensified use of renewable and alternative energy sources, which is generally consistent with the goals of the global energy transition. It revealed a significant influence of the political factor, as well as such factors as safety, costs and environmental friendliness. It is concluded that more funding is needed, especially in the sectors that are difficult to reduce emissions (cement production, steel production). There is a need for investment in renewable energy (RE) not only in developing countries, but also in developed countries. Since it is a question of creating reliable long-term access to clean energy, the solution to the global energy transition trilemma requires intensified investment in renewable energy and the expansion of sustainable financing at the international level in general.
全球能源转型融资问题
的目标。在国际层面上识别全球能源转型的特点,并在考虑到为此目的而分配的财政资源的现有数据的情况下,评估在既定时限内实施转型的可行性。分析现代条件下全球能源市场的主要趋势,重点分析后covid时期,确定影响国际层面能源转型融资的主要因素以及实现“净零”目标所需的投资金额。该研究分析了来自高盛、彭博新能源财经、LevelTen能源、IRENA、气候债券倡议等代表性机构的统计数据,从而有可能确定当前和较长期(2008-2023)全球能源市场的趋势。尽管全球能源部门已经取得了一些成就,并且存在数字化激励和机遇,但全球能源转型过程似乎是长期的。这种结构调整对替代能源和传统能源都是有益的。为了分析全球能源市场的现状和趋势,重点强调了主要的影响因素:化石燃料价格高企、环境技术的加速实施、更便宜的清洁技术以及能源供应的重新定位。这种趋势在新冠肺炎大流行之前就已经在发达国家出现,并正在向包括发展中国家在内的越来越多的国家蔓延。然而,目前为其实施分配的财政资源不足,这可能导致无法在2050年的目标日期之前实现零目标。这项研究的结果证实了可再生能源和替代能源的加强使用,这大体上符合全球能源转型的目标。调查显示,政治因素以及安全、成本和环境友好性等因素的影响显著。结论是需要更多的资金,特别是在难以减排的部门(水泥生产、钢铁生产)。不仅在发展中国家,而且在发达国家都需要投资可再生能源。由于这是一个建立可靠的长期清洁能源途径的问题,解决全球能源转型三难困境需要加强对可再生能源的投资,并在一般国际一级扩大可持续融资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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