The risk factors of COVID-19 in 50–74 years old people: a longitudinal population-based study

Q3 Mathematics

Epidemiologic Methods Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI:10.1515/em-2021-0024

Hozhabr Jamali Atergeleh, M. Emamian, Shahrbanoo Goli, M. Rohani-Rasaf, H. Hashemi, A. Fotouhi

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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Objectives To investigate the risk factors of COVID-19 infection in a longitudinal study of a population aged 50–74 years. Methods Data were collected from Shahroud Eye Cohort study and the COVID-19 electronic registry in Shahroud, northeast Iran. Participants were followed for about 13 months and predisposing factors for COVID-19 infection were investigated using log binominal model and calculating relative risks. Results From the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak in Shahroud (February 20, 2020) to March 26, 2021, out of 4,394 participants in the Eye Cohort study, 271 (6.1%) were diagnosed with COVID-19 with a positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction test on two nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs. Risk factors for COVID-19 infection included male gender (relative risk (RR) = 1.51; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.15–1.99), body mass index (BMI) over 25 (RR = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01–1.05), and diabetes (RR = 1.31; 95% CI, 1.02–1.67). Also, smoking (RR = 0.51; 95% CI, 0.28–0.93) and education (RR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92–0.98) showed inverse associations. Conclusions Men, diabetics, and those with BMI over 25 should be more cognizant and adhere to health protocols related to COVID-19 prevention and should be given priority for vaccination.

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50-74岁人群感染COVID-19的危险因素:一项基于人群的纵向研究

目的通过对50 ~ 74岁人群的纵向研究，探讨COVID-19感染的危险因素。方法收集伊朗东北部shahoud地区shahoud眼队列研究和COVID-19电子登记处的数据。参与者随访约13个月，使用对数二项模型调查COVID-19感染的易感因素并计算相对风险。结果从2019冠状病毒病在沙赫鲁德暴发开始(2020年2月20日)到2021年3月26日，在眼睛队列研究的4394名参与者中，271人(6.1%)被诊断为COVID-19，鼻咽和口咽拭子逆转录聚合酶链反应试验呈阳性。COVID-19感染的危险因素包括男性(相对风险(RR) = 1.51;95%可信区间(CI)， 1.15-1.99)，体重指数(BMI)大于25 (RR = 1.03;95% CI, 1.01-1.05)和糖尿病(RR = 1.31;95% ci, 1.02-1.67)。吸烟(RR = 0.51;95% CI, 0.28-0.93)和教育程度(RR = 0.95;95% CI(0.92-0.98)呈负相关。结论男性、糖尿病患者和BMI超过25的人群应加强对COVID-19预防相关健康方案的认识和遵守，并应优先接种疫苗。

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来源期刊

Epidemiologic Methods Mathematics-Applied Mathematics

CiteScore

2.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Epidemiologic Methods (EM) seeks contributions comparable to those of the leading epidemiologic journals, but also invites papers that may be more technical or of greater length than what has traditionally been allowed by journals in epidemiology. Applications and examples with real data to illustrate methodology are strongly encouraged but not required. Topics. genetic epidemiology, infectious disease, pharmaco-epidemiology, ecologic studies, environmental exposures, screening, surveillance, social networks, comparative effectiveness, statistical modeling, causal inference, measurement error, study design, meta-analysis